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Research article · 2026 · Full text

International Journal of Geography Geology and Environment

Spatial distribution and temporal trends of crimes against scheduled castes in Haryana: A district-level analysis (2011-2025)

Payal RaniBindu .

Volume 8(7) · Pages 69–83 · DOI: 10.22271/27067483.2026.v8.i7a.810 ↗

Research areasSouth Asian Studies and DiasporaCrime Patterns and InterventionsSouth Asian Studies and Conflicts

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Abstract

Author-written

Crimes against Scheduled Castes (SCs) represent a persistent dimension of structural inequality in India's social fabric. Haryana, a north Indian state with an SC population constituting 20.17% of its total population, has consistently exhibited crime rates against this community that exceed the national average. This paper undertakes a comprehensive district-level spatial and temporal analysis of crimes against Scheduled Castes across 22 districts of Haryana for the period 2011-2025, drawing upon secondary data from the National Crime Records Bureau (NCRB), Census of India 2011 [4], and Haryana Police annual crime statistics. The study employs temporal trend analysis, crime rate computation, spatial distribution mapping, correlation analysis, and multiple regression modelling to examine patterns and determinants of SC-related crimes. Findings indicate a statistically significant and sustained upward trend, with total registered cases rising from 1,847 in 2011 to an estimated 3,166 in 2023, reflecting a 71.4% increase and a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.5%. Spatial analysis reveals pronounced clustering in the urban-industrial belt of the Delhi National Capital Region (NCR) periphery comprising Faridabad, Sonipat, Rohtak, Gurugram, and Panipat while southern and western districts record comparatively lower rates. Urbanisation emerges as the strongest correlate of district-level crime rates (r = 0.72), followed by SC population density (r = 0.58), with SC literacy exhibiting a significant negative association (r = −0.49). Institutional response indicators reveal chronic failure: chargesheet rates have declined from 60.9% to 54%, while conviction rates remain persistently low at 10-13%. A four-zone spatial typology is proposed for spatially differentiated policy interventions. The study concludes with six evidence-based policy recommendations targeting legal enforcement, judicial capacity, SC literacy, land rights, digital crime monitoring, and field verification of under-reporting.

Summary

Source-checked

Plain-language reading of the full paper, prepared with AI and checked against the text. Each point links to the authors' own words.

  1. Why it matters

    • Crimes against Scheduled Castes (SCs) are a persistent manifestation of structural inequality within Indian society. View evidence ↗

      Why it matters

      Crimes against Scheduled Castes (SCs) are a persistent manifestation of structural inequality within Indian society.

      In the paper's own words

      “Crimes against Scheduled Castes (SCs) represent a persistent dimension of structural inequality in India's social fabric.”

      Page 1

      Found in: Introduction

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 1 ↗
    • Haryana has a significant SC population (20.17%) and consistently reports crime rates against this group that are higher than the national average. View evidence ↗

      Why it matters

      Haryana has a significant SC population (20.17%) and consistently reports crime rates against this group that are higher than the national average.

      In the paper's own words

      “Haryana, a north Indian state with an SC population constituting 20.17% of its total population, has consistently exhibited crime rates against this community that exceed the national average.”

      Page 1

      Found in: Introduction

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 1 ↗
    • Analyzing the spatial distribution of crimes allows researchers to see patterns of caste hierarchy and institutional capacity that legal or sociological studies might miss. View evidence ↗

      Why it matters

      Analyzing the spatial distribution of crimes allows researchers to see patterns of caste hierarchy and institutional capacity that legal or sociological studies might miss.

      In the paper's own words

      “the spatial distribution of crimes reveals structural patterns of caste hierarchy, economic competition, demographic change, and institutional capacity that are not visible through purely legal or sociological frameworks.”

      Page 2

      Found in: Spatial criminology and application to caste violence

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 2 ↗
  2. The question

    • The study aims to identify temporal trends and patterns of fluctuation in crimes against SCs in Haryana between 2011 and 2025. View evidence ↗

      The question

      The study aims to identify temporal trends and patterns of fluctuation in crimes against SCs in Haryana between 2011 and 2025.

      In the paper's own words

      “To examine the temporal trends of crimes against Scheduled Castes (SCs) in Haryana from 2011 to 2025, identifying patterns of increase, decrease, or fluctuation over time.”

      Page 3

      Found in: Spatial criminology and application to caste violence

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 3 ↗
    • The research seeks to map the spatial distribution of these crimes to identify specific high-crime hotspots and low-crime cold spots across Haryana's districts. View evidence ↗

      The question

      The research seeks to map the spatial distribution of these crimes to identify specific high-crime hotspots and low-crime cold spots across Haryana's districts.

      In the paper's own words

      “To analyze the spatial distribution of crimes against Scheduled Castes across the districts of Haryana and identify high-crime and low-crime districts (hotspots and cold spots).”

      Page 3

      Found in: To analyze the spatial distribution of crimes against

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 3 ↗
  3. What they did

    • The study analyzed secondary data from the NCRB, Census 2011, and Haryana Police to examine crimes across 22 districts from 2011 to 2025. View evidence ↗

      What they did

      The study analyzed secondary data from the NCRB, Census 2011, and Haryana Police to examine crimes across 22 districts from 2011 to 2025.

      In the paper's own words

      “This paper undertakes a comprehensive district-level spatial and temporal analysis of crimes against Scheduled Castes across 22 districts of Haryana for the period 2011-2025, drawing upon secondary data from the National Crime Records Bureau (NCRB), Census of India 2011 [4], and Haryana Police annual crime statistics.”

      Page 1

      Found in: Introduction

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 1 ↗
    • The researchers used Pearson's and Spearman's correlation coefficients to test the relationship between crime rates and variables like urbanization, literacy, and population density. View evidence ↗

      What they did

      The researchers used Pearson's and Spearman's correlation coefficients to test the relationship between crime rates and variables like urbanization, literacy, and population density.

      In the paper's own words

      “Pearson's correlation coefficient (r) and Spearman's rank correlation (ρ) are computed between district-level crime rates and five socio-economic variables: urbanisation rate, SC population density, per capita income (log-transformed), SC literacy rate, and share of agricultural labourers.”

      Page 4

      Found in: Socio-economic correlates and regression analysis

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 4 ↗
  4. What they found

    • Total registered cases against SCs in Haryana rose by 71.4% from 1,847 in 2011 to 3,166 in 2023, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.5%. View evidence ↗

      What they found

      Total registered cases against SCs in Haryana rose by 71.4% from 1,847 in 2011 to 3,166 in 2023, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.5%.

      In the paper's own words

      “registered cases increased monotonically from 1,847 in 2011 to 3,166 in 2023 a 71.4% increase over twelve years, equivalent to a CAGR of 4.5%.”

      Page 5

      Found in: Introduction

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 5 ↗
    • The highest crime rates were concentrated in the Delhi NCR periphery, with Faridabad leading at 68.4 cases per lakh SC population. View evidence ↗

      What they found

      The highest crime rates were concentrated in the Delhi NCR periphery, with Faridabad leading at 68.4 cases per lakh SC population.

      In the paper's own words

      “Faridabad records the highest crime rate (68.4 per lakh SC), followed by Sonipat (61.2), Rohtak (58.9), Gurugram (55.6), and Panipat (52.3).”

      Page 10

      Found in: Spatial distribution of SC crimes

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 10 ↗
    • Urbanization was found to be the strongest positive correlate of crime rates (r = 0.72), followed by SC population density (r = 0.58). View evidence ↗

      What they found

      Urbanization was found to be the strongest positive correlate of crime rates (r = 0.72), followed by SC population density (r = 0.58).

      In the paper's own words

      “The correlation results (Figure 10) confirm urbanisation as the strongest positive correlate (r = 0.72, p < 0.01), followed by SC population density (r = 0.58, p < 0.05), per capita income log (r = 0.44, p < 0.05), and share of agricultural labour (r = 0.35, p < 0.10).”

      Page 11

      Found in: Socio-economic correlates and regression analysis

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 11 ↗
    • SC literacy showed a significant negative correlation (r = -0.49) with crime rates, suggesting that higher education levels provide a protective effect. View evidence ↗

      What they found

      SC literacy showed a significant negative correlation (r = -0.49) with crime rates, suggesting that higher education levels provide a protective effect.

      In the paper's own words

      “SC literacy rate exhibits the strongest negative correlation (r = −0.49, p < 0.05), confirming the protective role of education.”

      Page 11

      Found in: Socio-economic correlates and regression analysis

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 11 ↗
    • In 2022, the most common crimes were simple hurt (40.2%) and criminal intimidation (14.4%), indicating that caste violence often takes the form of everyday physical and psychological intimidation. View evidence ↗

      What they found

      In 2022, the most common crimes were simple hurt (40.2%) and criminal intimidation (14.4%), indicating that caste violence often takes the form of everyday physical and psychological intimidation.

      In the paper's own words

      “Simple hurt cases (physical assault not causing grievous injury) dominate at 40.2% of all registered SC crimes in 2022, followed by criminal intimidation (14.4%), PoA Act-specific cases (9.2%), rape and sexual assault (7.2%), and assault on women with intent to outrage modesty (6.2%).”

      Page 7

      Found in: Crime category analysis

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 7 ↗
    • The number of female SC victims increased by 81.4% between 2011 and 2023, a growth rate that exceeds the overall increase in total SC crime cases. View evidence ↗

      What they found

      The number of female SC victims increased by 81.4% between 2011 and 2023, a growth rate that exceeds the overall increase in total SC crime cases.

      In the paper's own words

      “the absolute number of female SC victims has grown from 633 in 2011 to an estimated 1,148 in 2023 an 81.4% increase, which outpaces the 71.4% increase in total cases.”

      Page 7

      Found in: Gender dimensions of SC crimes

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 7 ↗
    • Institutional response has weakened, with chargesheet rates dropping from 60.9% in 2011 to 54.0% in 2023, and conviction rates remaining very low at 10.4% in 2023. View evidence ↗

      What they found

      Institutional response has weakened, with chargesheet rates dropping from 60.9% in 2011 to 54.0% in 2023, and conviction rates remaining very low at 10.4% in 2023.

      In the paper's own words

      “the chargesheet rate has actually declined from 60.9% in 2011 to 54.0% in 2023... More alarming is the conviction rate, which stands at merely 10.4% in 2023”

      Page 12

      Found in: Institutional response: The criminal justice system

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 12 ↗
    • Justice is severely delayed, with 85.1% of PoA Act cases remaining unresolved at the end of 2022 and an average trial duration of 6.7 years. View evidence ↗

      What they found

      Justice is severely delayed, with 85.1% of PoA Act cases remaining unresolved at the end of 2022 and an average trial duration of 6.7 years.

      In the paper's own words

      “Of all PoA Act cases pending before Haryana's special courts in 2022, 85.1% remained unresolved at year's end, with the average trial duration estimated at 6.7 years.”

      Page 12

      Found in: Institutional response: The criminal justice system

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 12 ↗
  5. What it means

    • The authors conclude that while the 2015 PoA Act amendment improved reporting, the failure to fully implement Exclusive Special Courts has limited its impact on actual trial outcomes. View evidence ↗

      What it means

      The authors conclude that while the 2015 PoA Act amendment improved reporting, the failure to fully implement Exclusive Special Courts has limited its impact on actual trial outcomes.

      In the paper's own words

      “The 2015 amendment has improved victim reporting and removed the anticipatory bail barrier, but the Exclusive Special Courts provision remains incompletely implemented, limiting the amendment's full impact on trial outcomes.”

      Page 14

      Found in: District typology: A four-zone spatial classification

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 14 ↗
    • The authors recommend the immediate establishment of Exclusive Special Courts in high- and moderate-incidence districts (Zones I and II) to address the justice deficit. View evidence ↗

      What it means

      The authors recommend the immediate establishment of Exclusive Special Courts in high- and moderate-incidence districts (Zones I and II) to address the justice deficit.

      In the paper's own words

      “Haryana should establish dedicated Exclusive Special Courts for PoA Act cases in all Zone I and Zone II districts, with adequate judicial staff, public prosecutors, and legal aid mechanisms.”

      Page 14

      Found in: Institutional response: The criminal justice system

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 14 ↗
    • A primary limitation is that the study relies on registered crime data, which likely underestimates the true incidence of atrocities due to substantial under-reporting. View evidence ↗

      What it means

      A primary limitation is that the study relies on registered crime data, which likely underestimates the true incidence of atrocities due to substantial under-reporting.

      In the paper's own words

      “NCRB data captures only registered crimes, and under-reporting of SC atrocities is widely recognised as substantial.”

      Page 14

      Found in: Limitations of the study

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 14 ↗
    • The use of 2011 Census data for population denominators introduces potential measurement error in crime rate calculations for later years. View evidence ↗

      What it means

      The use of 2011 Census data for population denominators introduces potential measurement error in crime rate calculations for later years.

      In the paper's own words

      “this study relies on 2011 Census data for SC population denominators, as the 2021 Census data had not been publicly released at the time of writing.”

      Page 14

      Found in: Limitations of the study

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 14 ↗

Visual summary

3 visuals

Illustrations explain the paper; charts are replotted from the paper's own table values.

AI-generated illustration
AI-generated conceptual illustration (A map of Haryana state, India, and symbolic representations of urban infrastructure and education). It explains the idea and does not show study data.↗ Enlarge
Socio-economic Drivers of SC Crime
AI-generated conceptual illustration (A map of Haryana state, India, and symbolic representations of urban infrastructure and education). It explains the idea and does not show study data.

AI-generated conceptual illustration (A map of Haryana state, India, and symbolic representations of urban infrastructure and education). It explains the idea and does not show study data.

Open full-size image ↗

Socio-economic Drivers of SC Crime

AI-generated conceptual illustration (A map of Haryana state, India, and symbolic representations of urban infrastructure and education). It explains the idea and does not show study data.

View source evidence ↗
Replotted from source data
Replotted from Table 2 (page 6) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.↗ Enlarge
2011: Haryana Rate vs National Rate
Replotted from Table 2 (page 6) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.

Replotted from Table 2 (page 6) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.

Open full-size image ↗

2011: Haryana Rate vs National Rate

Replotted from Table 2 (page 6) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.

View source evidence ↗
Replotted from source data
Replotted from Table 2 (page 6) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.↗ Enlarge
2013: Haryana Rate vs National Rate
Replotted from Table 2 (page 6) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.

Replotted from Table 2 (page 6) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.

Open full-size image ↗

2013: Haryana Rate vs National Rate

Replotted from Table 2 (page 6) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.

View source evidence ↗

Figures & tables

From the original paper
Geographical District Maps of Haryana  (a) Choropleth map of SC Atrocity Crime Rate (per lakh SC population, 2011-2023)Figure 1Page 4District-wise registered crimes against scheduled castes in Haryana (2011-2023)Table 1Page 5Temporal Trend of Registered Cases, Chargesheets and Convictions in SC Crimes, Haryana (2011-2023) (Source: NCRB Crime inFigure 2Page 5Haryana vs national crime rate against scs (per lakh sc population)Table 2Page 6Crime category-wise distribution against scs in Haryana (2016-2022)Table 3Page 6Crime category-wise distribution against SCs in Haryana (2016-2022) (Source: NCRB crime in India reports, various years)Figure 3Page 6Gender-wise breakdown of SC crime victims in Haryana (2011-2023*)Table 4Page 7Proportional composition of SC crime types in Haryana (2022) (Source: NCRB crime in India, 2022; compiled by authors)Figure 4Page 7District-wise crime rate, SC population, urbanisation and SC literacy (c. 2022)Table 5Page 8District-wise crime rate against SCs per Lakh SC population, Haryana (c. 2022) (Source: NCRB 2022; Haryana police statistics; RedFigure 5Page 8Heatmap of Registered SC Crimes by District and Year - Selected Districts, Haryana (2011-2023) (Source: NCRB Crime in IndiaFigure 6Page 9Schematic Spatial Typology of SC Crime Vulnerability Zones in Haryana (Compiled by authors based on NCRB 2022 and CensusFigure 7Page 9Urbanisation vs sc crime rate across Haryana districts (c. 2022; bubble size ∝ SC population share) (source: NCRB 2022; censusFigure 8Page 10Pearson's correlation coefficients between socio-economic variables and sc crime rate, Haryana (Source: compiled by authors; N = 21Figure 9Page 10Multiple OLS regression results - determinants of district-level SC crime rateTable 6Page 11Chargesheet rate and conviction rate in SC crime cases, Haryana (2011-2023*)Table 7Page 11Trial pendency in PoA act cases-Haryana special courts (2015-2022)Table 8Page 11Chargesheet Rate & Conviction Rate vs Registered Cases, Haryana (2011-2023) (Source: NCRB Crime in India Reports, variousFigure 10Page 12Distribution of SC Crime Rates by SC Literacy Level - Haryana Districts (Source: NCRB 2022; Census 2011; compiled by authors)Figure 11Page 12
FULL TEXT Original article · reflowed for reading

Introduction

The protection of Scheduled Castes (SCs) from caste-based discrimination and violence constitutes one of the foundational commitments of the Indian constitutional order. Article 17 of the Constitution abolished untouchability, while Article 46 mandates the state to promote educational and economic interests of SCs with special care and protect them from social injustice. These constitutional provisions have been operationalised through a series of legislative instruments, most notably the Protection of Civil Rights Act, 1955 and the Scheduled Castes and Scheduled Tribes (Prevention of Atrocities) Act, 1989 (PoA Act), which was substantially amended and strengthened in 2015. Notwithstanding this comprehensive legal framework, crimes against Scheduled Castes have continued to increase at the national level, presenting one of the most persistent failures of post-colonial governance. India recorded 57,582 registered crimes against SCs in 2022 an increase of 13.1% over 2021 (NCRB, 2022). The crime rate per lakh SC population rose from 25.3 in 2021 to 28.6 in 2022. Against this national backdrop, Haryana presents a particularly concerning picture. The state's crime rate against SCs consistently exceeds the national average, and the absolute number of registered cases has increased every year since 2011. In 2021, Haryana's crime rate stood at 31.8 per lakh SC population, surpassing the national average of 25.3, placing it among the most problematic states in the country (NCRB, 2021). Thorat and Kumar (2008) [21] provided one of the earliest systematic comparative analyses of caste-based discrimination and violence in India, establishing that SC communities face disproportionate exposure to violent crime relative to their population share. Their framework linked the persistence of caste violence to the incomplete transformation of the social relations of production in agrarian India, where SCs remain tied to dominant caste landholders through customary labour arrangements that inhibit economic independence. Deshpande (2011) [6] extended this analysis, identifying labour market segmentation and occupational exclusion as key vulnerability factors. Her concept of 'caste as a stigma' a form of social capital deprivation that operates alongside economic deprivation offers a nuanced framework for understanding why SCs remain uniquely vulnerable to atrocities even as aggregate poverty declines. Prasad (2016) [17] conducted an econometric analysis of state-level NCRB data and found significant positive correlations between SC crime rates and rural unemployment, agricultural land concentration, and social heterogeneity. Venkateswarlu (2013) [22] examined NCRB data longitudinally and identified persistent spatial concentration of SC crimes in the Hindi heartland states. He introduced the distinction between 'reporting bias' the tendency for more literate and urbanised SC communities to report crimes more readily and 'genuine incidence', arguing that rising crime statistics may partly reflect improved victim reporting rather than pure increases in atrocities. This interpretive challenge is central to the methodology of the present study.

Review of literature 2.1 National studies on caste violence

Review of literature 2.1 National studies on caste violence

Studies on Haryana

Rao (2014) [18] examined the socio-political dynamics of SC atrocities in Haryana, focusing on the dominant position of the Jat agrarian community and its historically contentious relationship with SC communities, particularly in matters of land ownership, labour wages, and social dignity norms. He documented how competitive electoral mobilisation of SC communities since the 1980s has generated backlash violence, particularly in peri-urban constituencies where land prices have escalated. Singh and Kaur (2017) [20] conducted a comparative spatial analysis of SC crimes in Punjab and Haryana using GISbased choropleth mapping. Their findings established clear spatial clusters in Haryana's central and south-eastern districts and highlighted the role of peri-urban land speculation in generating new caste conflict. Their study, however, was limited to the period 2011-2015 and did not examine the post-PoA Act amendment period (post-2016). Malik (2020) [12] assessed the criminal justice system's response to PoA Act cases in Haryana, documenting severely inadequate conviction rates (12-14%), long trial pendency, and widespread witness intimidation. He argued that the special courts for PoA Act cases, mandated under the 2015 amendment, remained understaffed and resourcedeprived, with caseloads growing far faster than disposal capacity. Bhat and Sharma (2022) [2] examined post-COVID patterns of SC crimes in Haryana, identifying an initial decline in 2020 attributable to lockdown restrictions on mobility, followed by a sharp rebound in 2021-2022. They argued that economic distress during the pandemic, combined with increased contact between SC and dominant caste communities returning to rural areas, created conditions for heightened atrocity risk.

Spatial criminology and application to caste violence

The theoretical foundation for spatial analysis of crimes is provided by environmental criminology and spatial criminology. Sherman, Gartin and Buerger (1989) [19] established the concept of crime hotspots specific places generating disproportionate shares of crime through analysis of police call data. Weisburd (2015) [23] formalised the 'law of crime concentration', demonstrating that across different cities and countries, 50% of crimes consistently occur in just 5-6% of street segments. Applied to caste violence, Mitra and Mitra (2011) [14] demonstrated that SC crimes exhibit positive spatial autocorrelation using Moran's I statistic that is, high-crime districts tend to be geographically proximate to other highcrime districts, suggesting diffusion mechanisms and shared structural conditions that transcend administrative boundaries. Clarke and Felson (1993) [5] proposed the routine activity theory, which holds that crimes require the convergence of motivated offenders, suitable targets, and absence of capable guardians. In the context of SC crimes, this framework maps onto the convergence of dominantcaste actors with grievances or interests in maintaining caste hierarchy, SC individuals in their daily routines, and weak institutional deterrence. Brantingham and Brantingham (1984) [3] developed pattern theory, arguing that crimes cluster around the activity nodes of offenders. For caste atrocities, the relevant activity nodes include village common areas (ghats, wells, roads), agricultural worksites, and increasingly, peri-urban commercial zones all of which represent sites of caste interaction and potential conflict. These theoretical frameworks collectively inform the spatial analytical approach adopted in this study.

Objectives of the study 1. To examine the temporal trends of crimes against Scheduled Castes (SCs) in Haryana from 2011 to 2025, identifying patterns of increase, decrease, or fluctuation over time.

To analyze the spatial distribution of crimes against

Scheduled Castes across the districts of Haryana and identify high-crime and low-crime districts (hotspots and cold spots). 3. To compare district-wise variations in the incidence and crime rates against Scheduled Castes during the study period.

Study area: Haryana

Study area: Haryana

Demographic and social context

According to the Census of India 2011 [3] , where NCRB district-level data is incomplete, and for preliminary 2024-2025 estimates. 4. Haryana Economic Survey (2023) [8] : District-level socio-economic indicators including per capita income, urbanisation rates, and employment indicators.

Ministry of Social Justice and Empowerment (MoSJE):

Reports on implementation of the SC/ST PoA Act, special court data, and welfare scheme coverage.

Geographical maps of the study area

Geographical maps of the study area

Analytical methods 4.2.1 Crime rate computation

To enable meaningful spatial comparison across districts with varying SC population sizes, a standardised crime rate is computed as:

This expresses the rate as the number of cases per lakh (100,000) SC population, a standard metric used by NCRB in national-level reporting. The SC population denominator is held constant at 2011 Census values for 2011-2023 computations, acknowledging the absence of 2021 Census release; a sensitivity analysis using projected 2021 SC populations (based on 2001-2011 growth rates) was conducted and found not to materially alter the spatial pattern findings.

Temporal trend analysis

Temporal trend analysis

Spatial analysis

District-level crime rates are mapped as choropleth maps for key years (2011, 2015, 2019, 2023) to identify spatial patterns. A schematic zone diagram (Figure 1) summarises the spatial typology. Spatial autocorrelation is assessed qualitatively, as formal Moran's I computation requires GIS software and geospatial data beyond the scope of this paper; however, the spatial pattern is described in terms of contiguous high-crime and low-crime clusters. As Table 5 illustrates, Haryana's crime rate against SCs has consistently and increasingly exceeded the national average throughout the study period. Particularly noteworthy is that Haryana's rate rose from 24.8 in 2011 close to the national average to 38.1 in 2022, while the national average was 28.6 in the same year. This divergence suggests that statespecific factors are driving crime growth in Haryana beyond the general national trend.

Table 5. District-wise crime rate, SC population, urbanisation and SC literacy (c. 2022)
DistrictCrime Rate*SC Pop. (%)Urbanisation (%)SC Literacy (%)Zone
Faridabad68.420.182.658.2I
Sonipat61.223.454.369.8I
Rohtak58.924.760.266.4I
Gurugram55.616.891.464.1I
Panipat52.322.158.763.2I
Ambala49.125.355.874.2II
Hisar46.826.244.162.1II
Karnal44.721.948.370.3II
Sirsa40.328.136.460.8II
Kurukshetra38.624.642.171.2II
Jhajjar42.127.438.265.4II
Jind36.426.834.663.4III
Kaithal34.227.233.164.8III
Bhiwani32.125.431.262.3III
Fatehabad27.129.425.258.9III
Rewari28.523.127.464.2III
Yamunanagar26.322.642.868.4III
Palwal30.822.828.960.1IV
Panchkula29.418.252.476.4IV
Mahendragarh24.319.522.163.2IV
Mewat (Nuh)22.18.218.452.4IV

Table text extracted from the original PDF; superscript letters are shown inline. The original table image is below.

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District-wise crime rate, SC population, urbanisation and SC literacy (c. 2022)↗ Enlarge
Table 5
District-wise crime rate, SC population, urbanisation and SC literacy (c. 2022)

District-wise crime rate, SC population, urbanisation and SC literacy (c. 2022)

Open full-size image ↗
Original paper tableSource PDF · page 8 ↗
Figure 1. Geographical District Maps of Haryana (a) Choropleth map of SC Atrocity Crime Rate (per lakh SC population, 2011-2023)
Geographical District Maps of Haryana  (a) Choropleth map of SC Atrocity Crime Rate (per lakh SC population, 2011-2023)↗ Enlarge
Figure 1
Geographical District Maps of Haryana  (a) Choropleth map of SC Atrocity Crime Rate (per lakh SC population, 2011-2023)

Geographical District Maps of Haryana (a) Choropleth map of SC Atrocity Crime Rate (per lakh SC population, 2011-2023)

Open full-size image ↗
Original paper figureSource PDF · page 4 ↗

Correlation and regression analysis

Correlation and regression analysis

Crime category analysis

Table 2 and Figure 3 disaggregate registered SC crimes in Haryana by offence category, revealing the nature of atrocities committed. Figure 4 presents the proportional composition for the latest available year (2022). Simple hurt cases (physical assault not causing grievous injury) dominate at 40.2% of all registered SC crimes in 2022, followed by criminal intimidation (14.4%), PoA Actspecific cases (9.2%), rape and sexual assault (7.2%), and assault on women with intent to outrage modesty (6.2%). This composition reflects the everyday, quotidian nature of much caste violence in Haryana the enforcement of caste norms through physical intimidation and assault rather than spectacular acts of extreme violence, though murders (2.5%) and rape (7.2%) are also substantial. Cases of sexual violence against SC women deserve particular attention. Absolute rape cases rose from 148 in 2016 to 214 in 2022 a 44.6% increase while their share of total cases also increased slightly, from 6.6% to 7.2%. This trend reflects the compound vulnerability of Dalit women, who face the intersection of gender and caste oppression. National data confirms that SC women account for approximately 7.64% of all rape victims (NCRB, 2021), disproportionate to their population share.

Figure 4. Proportional composition of SC crime types in Haryana (2022) (Source: NCRB crime in India, 2022; compiled by authors)
Proportional composition of SC crime types in Haryana (2022) (Source: NCRB crime in India, 2022; compiled by authors)↗ Enlarge
Figure 4
Proportional composition of SC crime types in Haryana (2022) (Source: NCRB crime in India, 2022; compiled by authors)

Proportional composition of SC crime types in Haryana (2022) (Source: NCRB crime in India, 2022; compiled by authors)

Open full-size image ↗
Original paper figureSource PDF · page 7 ↗
Figure 3. Crime category-wise distribution against SCs in Haryana (2016-2022) (Source: NCRB crime in India reports, various years)
Crime category-wise distribution against SCs in Haryana (2016-2022) (Source: NCRB crime in India reports, various years)↗ Enlarge
Figure 3
Crime category-wise distribution against SCs in Haryana (2016-2022) (Source: NCRB crime in India reports, various years)

Crime category-wise distribution against SCs in Haryana (2016-2022) (Source: NCRB crime in India reports, various years)

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Table 2. Haryana vs national crime rate against scs (per lakh sc population)
YearHaryana RateNational RateHaryana RankHaryana CasesIndia Total Cases
201124.822.18th184733,719
201327.423.37th203839,408
201529.624.17th224645,003
201731.223.96th246743,203
201933.822.86th271745,961
202135.625.35th298750,900
202238.128.65th307157,582
2023*40.23166

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Table 2
Haryana vs national crime rate against scs (per lakh sc population)

Haryana vs national crime rate against scs (per lakh sc population)

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Gender dimensions of SC crimes

Table 6 presents the gender breakdown of SC crime victims in Haryana over the study period. This analysis reveals a gradually increasing share of female victims, rising from 34.3% in 2011 to 36.3% in 2023*. Importantly, the absolute number of female SC victims has grown from 633 in 2011 to an estimated 1,148 in 2023 an 81.4% increase, which outpaces the 71.4% increase in total cases. The increasing feminisation of SC crime victimisation reflects several intersecting dynamics. First, rising SC political and economic assertion has generated particular backlash against SC women, who symbolise community honour and are targeted as a means of intimidating the community collectively. Second, improved victim reporting by SC women, driven by greater awareness of legal rights and the availability of One Stop Centres under Mission Shakti, may partly account for the trend. Third, the growth of SC women's participation in public life as ASHA workers, SHG members, school teachers, and local body representatives increases their exposure to dominant-caste actors and associated conflict.

Table 6. Multiple OLS regression results - determinants of district-level SC crime rate
VariableCoefficient (β)Std. Errort-statisticp-valueVIF
Constant (intercept)−12.424.86−2.560.021
Urbanisation (%)+0.740.126.17<0.0011.48
SC Literacy Rate (%)−0.430.11−3.910.0011.52
SC Pop. Density+0.310.093.440.0041.23
Per Capita Income (log)+0.180.082.250.0381.61
Adj. R² = 0.71; F = 14.23 (p < 0.001); N = 21 districts

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Table 6
Multiple OLS regression results - determinants of district-level SC crime rate

Multiple OLS regression results - determinants of district-level SC crime rate

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Spatial distribution of SC crimes

Table 3 and Figures 2,7, and 9 present the spatial dimension of SC crimes across Haryana's districts. Figure 2 shows district-wise crime rates per lakh SC population for approximately 2022. Figure 7 provides a heatmap of registered cases across selected districts for the full 2011-2023 period, revealing both spatial and temporal variation simultaneously. Figure 9 presents a schematic spatial typology. [8] ; *Rate = cases per lakh SC population) The spatial pattern is characterised by strong clustering in the south and south-eastern districts. Faridabad records the highest crime rate (68.4 per lakh SC), followed by Sonipat (61.2), Rohtak (58.9), Gurugram (55.6), and Panipat (52.3). All five districts are part of or adjacent to the Delhi NCR, and all are characterised by rapid urbanisation, industrial employment, and the resulting social churning that occurs when traditional rural caste hierarchies are transplanted into crowded urban-industrial settings. The heatmap (Figure 7) confirms that this spatial clustering is not a recent phenomenon but has been consistently present across the entire study period, with absolute case numbers increasing in all districts. The rate of increase has been highest in Gurugram and Sonipat, where urbanisation has been most rapid, suggesting that urbanisation-driven social change is a key dynamic.

Figure 9. Pearson's correlation coefficients between socio-economic variables and sc crime rate, Haryana (Source: compiled by authors; N = 21
Pearson's correlation coefficients between socio-economic variables and sc crime rate, Haryana (Source: compiled by authors; N = 21↗ Enlarge
Figure 9
Pearson's correlation coefficients between socio-economic variables and sc crime rate, Haryana (Source: compiled by authors; N = 21

Pearson's correlation coefficients between socio-economic variables and sc crime rate, Haryana (Source: compiled by authors; N = 21

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Figure 7. Schematic Spatial Typology of SC Crime Vulnerability Zones in Haryana (Compiled by authors based on NCRB 2022 and Census
Schematic Spatial Typology of SC Crime Vulnerability Zones in Haryana (Compiled by authors based on NCRB 2022 and Census↗ Enlarge
Figure 7
Schematic Spatial Typology of SC Crime Vulnerability Zones in Haryana (Compiled by authors based on NCRB 2022 and Census

Schematic Spatial Typology of SC Crime Vulnerability Zones in Haryana (Compiled by authors based on NCRB 2022 and Census

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Table 3. Crime category-wise distribution against scs in Haryana (2016-2022)
Crime Category2016201820202022% Share (2022)
Murder576271742.5%
Attempt to Murder384248511.7%
Rape / Sexual Assault1481631952147.2%
Kidnapping & Abduction424755612.1%
Simple Hurt8759581082118940.2%
Criminal Intimidation31234438942714.4%
SC/ST (PoA) Act Cases1982182472719.2%
Arson / Property Damage88971101214.1%
Assault on Women (Modesty)1341481671836.2%
Other IPC Offences36139735336712.4%
TOTAL2253247627172958100%

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Table 3
Crime category-wise distribution against scs in Haryana (2016-2022)

Crime category-wise distribution against scs in Haryana (2016-2022)

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Figure 2. Temporal Trend of Registered Cases, Chargesheets and Convictions in SC Crimes, Haryana (2011-2023) (Source: NCRB Crime in
Temporal Trend of Registered Cases, Chargesheets and Convictions in SC Crimes, Haryana (2011-2023) (Source: NCRB Crime in↗ Enlarge
Figure 2
Temporal Trend of Registered Cases, Chargesheets and Convictions in SC Crimes, Haryana (2011-2023) (Source: NCRB Crime in

Temporal Trend of Registered Cases, Chargesheets and Convictions in SC Crimes, Haryana (2011-2023) (Source: NCRB Crime in

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Western and southern districts (Bhiwani, Fatehabad, Mahendragarh, Mewat) record significantly lower crime rates. In Mewat (Nuh), the rate of 22.1 per lakh reflects the unusually low SC population share (8.2%) due to the predominantly Muslim Mewati social composition, which creates a different inter-community dynamic than the typical Jat-Dalit conflict prevalent elsewhere in Haryana.

Socio-economic correlates and regression analysis

Figure 6 presents the scatter plot of district-level urbanisation versus crime rate, and Figure 10 summarises the correlation coefficients for all tested variables. Table 8 presents the multiple regression results. The correlation results (Figure 10) confirm urbanisation as the strongest positive correlate (r = 0.72, p < 0.01), followed by SC population density (r = 0.58, p < 0.05), per capita income log (r = 0.44, p < 0.05), and share of agricultural labour (r = 0.35, p < 0.10). SC literacy rate exhibits the strongest negative correlation (r = -0.49, p < 0.05), confirming the protective role of education. The positive correlation between urbanisation and SC crime rate deserves careful interpretation. It might seem counterintuitive that more urbanised, economically developed districts have higher caste crime rates. However, this finding aligns with prior research by Prasad (2016) [17] and is theoretically explicable through several mechanisms. First, urbanisation generates intense competition for urban land, housing, and employment between SC communities and dominant-caste migrants. Second, rapid urbanisation disrupts traditional village-level social control mechanisms without fully replacing them with effective urban legal institutions, creating an institutional void. Third, urban settings provide SC communities with greater awareness of their rights and greater access to police stations, increasing reporting rates. Fourth, urban informal settlements (bastis) housing large SC populations create spatial concentrations of poverty and caste inequality that are sites of conflict. The multiple regression model (Table 8) achieves an adjusted R² of 0.71, indicating that the four predictors together explain 71% of inter-district variance in SC crime rates. The regression equation is: Crime Rate = -12.42 + 0.74(Urbanisation%) -0.43(SC Literacy%) + 0.31(SC Pop. Density) + 0.18(ln per Capita Income). All coefficients are statistically significant at the 5% level or better, and VIF values are below 2, confirming the absence of problematic multicollinearity.

Figure 10. Chargesheet Rate & Conviction Rate vs Registered Cases, Haryana (2011-2023) (Source: NCRB Crime in India Reports, various
Chargesheet Rate & Conviction Rate vs Registered Cases, Haryana (2011-2023) (Source: NCRB Crime in India Reports, various↗ Enlarge
Figure 10
Chargesheet Rate & Conviction Rate vs Registered Cases, Haryana (2011-2023) (Source: NCRB Crime in India Reports, various

Chargesheet Rate & Conviction Rate vs Registered Cases, Haryana (2011-2023) (Source: NCRB Crime in India Reports, various

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Table 8. Trial pendency in PoA act cases-Haryana special courts (2015-2022)
YearCases Sent to CourtPending (Start)DisposedPending (End)Pendency Rate (%)Avg. Trial (Yrs)
201512982847912323378.0%4.8
201613503233961362278.6%4.9
201713843622998400879.3%5.1
2018140840081012440480.1%5.3
2019150244041089481781.5%5.6
2020154548171001536183.4%6.1
2021161253611078589584.5%6.4
2022166058951124643185.1%6.7

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Table 8
Trial pendency in PoA act cases-Haryana special courts (2015-2022)

Trial pendency in PoA act cases-Haryana special courts (2015-2022)

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Figure 6. Heatmap of Registered SC Crimes by District and Year - Selected Districts, Haryana (2011-2023) (Source: NCRB Crime in India
Heatmap of Registered SC Crimes by District and Year - Selected Districts, Haryana (2011-2023) (Source: NCRB Crime in India↗ Enlarge
Figure 6
Heatmap of Registered SC Crimes by District and Year - Selected Districts, Haryana (2011-2023) (Source: NCRB Crime in India

Heatmap of Registered SC Crimes by District and Year - Selected Districts, Haryana (2011-2023) (Source: NCRB Crime in India

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Institutional response: The criminal justice system

Tables 4 and7 and Figure 5 assess the performance of the criminal justice system in responding to SC atrocity cases. Figure 8 examines the relationship between SC literacy and crime rates across districts. The institutional response data (Tables 4 and7, Figure 5) reveal a pattern of chronic systemic failure. Despite a 71.4% increase in registered cases, the chargesheet rate has actually declined from 60.9% in 2011 to 54.0% in 2023, indicating that the police's capacity to complete investigations has not kept pace with caseload growth. More alarming is the conviction rate, which stands at merely 10.4% in 2023 meaning that of every ten atrocity cases registered, approximately nine result in no conviction. This compares unfavourably with the already low national conviction rate of 34% for SC crimes (NCRB, 2022). Trial pendency (Table 7) has reached crisis levels. Of all PoA Act cases pending before Haryana's special courts in 2022, 85.1% remained unresolved at year's end, with the average trial duration estimated at 6.7 years. This protracted justice delay operates as a functional form of impunity: witnesses become unavailable, memory fades, victims come under social pressure to withdraw cases, and perpetrators continue to exercise social dominance during the trial period. The 2015 PoA Act Amendment mandated the creation of Exclusive Special Courts (separate from combined special courts), but implementation has been partial in Haryana, with only a fraction of the mandated exclusive courts operational.

Table 7. Chargesheet rate and conviction rate in SC crime cases, Haryana (2011-2023*)
YearCases RegisteredChargesheets FiledChargesheet Rate (%)ConvictionsConviction Rate (%)
20111847112460.923112.5
20132038119558.625611.8
20152246129857.828712.7
20172467138456.130411.6
20192717150255.334812.8
20212987161253.931210.5
2023*3166171054.032910.4

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Table 7
Chargesheet rate and conviction rate in SC crime cases, Haryana (2011-2023*)

Chargesheet rate and conviction rate in SC crime cases, Haryana (2011-2023*)

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Figure 8. Urbanisation vs sc crime rate across Haryana districts (c. 2022; bubble size ∝ SC population share) (source: NCRB 2022; census
Urbanisation vs sc crime rate across Haryana districts (c. 2022; bubble size ∝ SC population share) (source: NCRB 2022; census↗ Enlarge
Figure 8
Urbanisation vs sc crime rate across Haryana districts (c. 2022; bubble size ∝ SC population share) (source: NCRB 2022; census

Urbanisation vs sc crime rate across Haryana districts (c. 2022; bubble size ∝ SC population share) (source: NCRB 2022; census

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Figure 5. District-wise crime rate against SCs per Lakh SC population, Haryana (c. 2022) (Source: NCRB 2022; Haryana police statistics; Red
District-wise crime rate against SCs per Lakh SC population, Haryana (c. 2022) (Source: NCRB 2022; Haryana police statistics; Red↗ Enlarge
Figure 5
District-wise crime rate against SCs per Lakh SC population, Haryana (c. 2022) (Source: NCRB 2022; Haryana police statistics; Red

District-wise crime rate against SCs per Lakh SC population, Haryana (c. 2022) (Source: NCRB 2022; Haryana police statistics; Red

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The boxplot in Figure 8 confirms the protective role of SC literacy: districts with SC literacy above 65% show a lower median crime rate and smaller variance compared to districts with SC literacy below 65%. While this crosssectional comparison does not establish causality, it is consistent with the theory that educational attainment increases economic independence from dominant castes, improves knowledge of legal rights, and reduces social vulnerability.

District typology: A four-zone spatial classification

Based on the integrated analysis of crime rates, temporal trends, spatial clustering, and socio-economic correlates, this study proposes a four-zone classification of Haryana's districts with respect to SC crime vulnerability. This typology is intended to guide spatially differentiated policy responses. The Exclusive Special Courts provision has been only partially implemented in Haryana. As of 2022, Haryana had constituted exclusive special courts in only a few high-crime districts, far below the mandate. The incomplete implementation of this provision which is the most consequential for long-term trial pendency reduction represents a major policy failure that must be urgently addressed.

Zone I -High intensity, persistent hotspots

Zone I -High intensity, persistent hotspots

Gender dimensions: Violence against dalit women

The intersection of caste and gender creates a distinctive and severe form of vulnerability for Dalit women. As Table 6 demonstrates, female SC victims constitute an increasing share of total SC crime victims in Haryana, rising from 34.3% in 2011 to an estimated 36.3% in 2023. Rape and sexual assault cases have grown from 148 in 2016 to 214 in 2022 a 44.6% increase. The targeting of Dalit women through sexual violence serves multiple social functions in the caste hierarchy. At the level of the perpetrator, it may be an assertion of caste dominance and a violation of community boundaries an act designed to humiliate not just the individual victim but the entire SC community. At the level of community response, the disproportionate attention to purity and honour norms within SC communities themselves can lead to victimblaming and social ostracism of survivors, further deterring reporting. At the level of the justice system, cases involving SC women complainants and non-SC perpetrators face additional barriers of witness intimidation, victim credibility challenges, and societal sympathy for accused persons from dominant communities. NCRB data confirms that at the national level, 7.64% of rape victims belong to the SC community, disproportionate to the SC share of the female population (approximately 16.6%). In Haryana, the equivalent figure is estimated to be higher given the state's above-average SC share and crime rate. The state has additionally been noted for particularly high rates of crime against women in general (ranked 5th in crime rate against women with 110.

Limitations of the study

Several limitations of this study must be acknowledged. First and most importantly, NCRB data captures only registered crimes, and under-reporting of SC atrocities is widely recognised as substantial. Victims may not report due to fear of social retaliation, lack of confidence in the justice system, economic dependence on perpetrators, or social pressure to settle disputes through panchayat-level mechanisms that bypass formal legal channels. The magnitude of this under-reporting is greater in more rural and remote districts, which biases crime rate comparisons in favour of rural areas showing artificially lower rates. The true incidence of SC crimes is almost certainly substantially higher than registered case figures suggest.

Second, this study relies on 2011 Census data for SC population denominators, as the 2021 Census data had not been publicly released at the time of writing. Over the decade 2011-2021, SC populations have grown and redistribution has occurred due to rural-urban migration. This introduces measurement error in crime rate computations for later years, particularly for fast-urbanising districts like Gurugram and Faridabad which have experienced large in-migration. Third, the district-level analytical framework masks intradistrict spatial variation. Within a district like Rohtak, crime may be concentrated in specific sub-districts or even specific panchayat areas linked to particular caste conflict flashpoints. Sub-district (tehsil or block-level) analysis would provide a more granular picture. Such analysis is constrained by data availability, as NCRB does not routinely publish sub-district crime data for SC-specific offences. Fourth, the absence of victim survey data means that this study cannot directly assess under-reporting rates or victim experience of the criminal justice system. Future research should combine NCRB data analysis with primary field surveys, including focus group discussions with SC community members, to provide a more complete picture. Fifth, data for 2024-2025 are preliminary estimates based on available state police publications and extrapolations from established trends, and should be treated with appropriate caution pending official NCRB verification.

Figures and tables from the paper

Table 1. District-wise registered crimes against scheduled castes in Haryana (2011-2023)
District2011201320152017201920212023*
Ambala859198107118132145
Bhiwani6270788995108118
Faridabad148162179194218241268
Fatehabad54616975829098
Gurugram92105120138162185209
Hisar110121135148167183198
Jhajjar7178849199110121
Jind6875828997106117
Kaithal596673808796104
Karnal103115126139152167182
Kurukshetra8895103112123135147
Mahendragarh47535965727986
Mewat (NUH)38445158647178
Palwal768493102113124136
Panchkula556270788694103
Panipat97108119132146160174
Rewari6370788694103112
Rohtak108119131144158172188
Sirsa94104115127139152165
Sonipat115127140154169185201
Yamunanagar798897107118130142
Nuh35404652586471
TOTAL1847203822462467271729873166

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Table 1
District-wise registered crimes against scheduled castes in Haryana (2011-2023)

District-wise registered crimes against scheduled castes in Haryana (2011-2023)

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Table 4. Gender-wise breakdown of SC crime victims in Haryana (2011-2023*)
YearMale VictimsFemale VictimsFemale%Rape CasesMinor VictimsTotal Cases
2011121463334.3%112281847
2013133470434.5%128332038
2015146278434.9%148392246
2017159787035.2%163442467
2019175196635.5%183512717
20211910107736.1%206582987
2023*2018114836.3%214623166

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Table 4
Gender-wise breakdown of SC crime victims in Haryana (2011-2023*)

Gender-wise breakdown of SC crime victims in Haryana (2011-2023*)

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Figure 11. Distribution of SC Crime Rates by SC Literacy Level - Haryana Districts (Source: NCRB 2022; Census 2011; compiled by authors)
Distribution of SC Crime Rates by SC Literacy Level - Haryana Districts (Source: NCRB 2022; Census 2011; compiled by authors)↗ Enlarge
Figure 11
Distribution of SC Crime Rates by SC Literacy Level - Haryana Districts (Source: NCRB 2022; Census 2011; compiled by authors)

Distribution of SC Crime Rates by SC Literacy Level - Haryana Districts (Source: NCRB 2022; Census 2011; compiled by authors)

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