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Research article · 2025 · Full text

International Journal of Geography Geology and Environment

Ecotourism potential assessment and sustainable development in Torres del Paine National Park

Alexei PetrovOlga MorozovaViktor Smirnov

Volume 7(2) · Pages 136–138 · DOI: 10.22271/27067483.2025.v7.i2b.584 ↗

Research areasFinance, Taxation, and GovernanceDiverse Aspects of Tourism ResearchRecreation, Leisure, Wilderness Management

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Abstract

Author-written

As one leading conservation ecologist put it, the challenge of ecotourism is not whether people want to visit wild places but whether wild places can survive the visit. Torres del Paine National Park in southern Chile attracts over 250,000 visitors annually to its granite towers, glaciers, and Patagonian steppe, yet no systematic assessment of ecotourism suitability across different park zones existed before this research. This investigation evaluated ecotourism potential at five zones within the park using a multi-criteria assessment framework scoring biodiversity, landscape quality, infrastructure, cultural value, and carrying capacity. Data came from field surveys at 42 observation points, visitor tracking records from CONAF (Chile’s forestry agency) for 2010-2022, and remote sensing analysis of trail condition and vegetation disturbance. Visitor numbers grew from 128,000 in 2010 to 242,000 in 2022, with revenue rising from USD 8.4 million to 22.1 million. The Torres Viewpoint scored highest overall (8.3/10) but also showed the greatest vegetation trampling damage. The Paine Circuit scored highest for cultural value (8.2) and biodiversity (8.9) but lowest for infrastructure (2.6) and carrying capacity (3.2). A sustainable development framework was proposed that redistributes visitor pressure from overused zones toward undervisited areas with adequate ecological resilience.

Summary

Source-checked

Plain-language reading of the full paper, prepared with AI and checked against the text. Each point links to the authors' own words.

  1. Why it matters

    • Torres del Paine National Park in southern Chile is a major attraction, drawing more than 250,000 annual visitors to its glaciers, granite towers, and steppe. View evidence ↗

      Why it matters

      Torres del Paine National Park in southern Chile is a major attraction, drawing more than 250,000 annual visitors to its glaciers, granite towers, and steppe.

      In the paper's own words

      “Torres del Paine National Park in southern Chile attracts over 250,000 visitors annually to its granite towers, glaciers, and Patagonian steppe”

      Page 1

      Found in: Introduction

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 1 ↗
    • While a decade of doubling visitor numbers has increased revenue for park management, it has also led to wildlife disturbance, waste accumulation, and trail erosion. View evidence ↗

      Why it matters

      While a decade of doubling visitor numbers has increased revenue for park management, it has also led to wildlife disturbance, waste accumulation, and trail erosion.

      In the paper's own words

      “Visitor numbers have roughly doubled in a decade, bringing revenue that supports park management but also trail erosion, waste accumulation, and wildlife disturbance”

      Page 1

      Found in: Introduction

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 1 ↗
    • Prior to this study, there was no research that integrated carrying capacity, infrastructure, cultural, and ecological criteria into one spatial framework for the park. View evidence ↗

      Why it matters

      Prior to this study, there was no research that integrated carrying capacity, infrastructure, cultural, and ecological criteria into one spatial framework for the park.

      In the paper's own words

      “No research had combined ecological, infrastructure, cultural, and carrying capacity criteria into a single spatial framework for the park.”

      Page 1

      Found in: Introduction

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 1 ↗
  2. The question

    • The study aimed to evaluate the ecotourism potential of five park zones using a multi-criteria framework that scored carrying capacity, cultural value, infrastructure, landscape quality, and biodiversity. View evidence ↗

      The question

      The study aimed to evaluate the ecotourism potential of five park zones using a multi-criteria framework that scored carrying capacity, cultural value, infrastructure, landscape quality, and biodiversity.

      In the paper's own words

      “This investigation evaluated ecotourism potential at five zones within the park using a multi-criteria assessment framework scoring biodiversity, landscape quality, infrastructure, cultural value, and carrying capacity.”

      Page 1

      Found in: Methods

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 1 ↗
  3. What they did

    • Researchers conducted field surveys at 42 observation points across five zones during the austral summers of 2021 and 2022. View evidence ↗

      What they did

      Researchers conducted field surveys at 42 observation points across five zones during the austral summers of 2021 and 2022.

      In the paper's own words

      “Field surveys were conducted at 42 observation points across five park zones during January-March 2021 and 2022 (austral summer).”

      Page 2

      Found in: Material

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 2 ↗
    • The study used CONAF entry records from 2010-2022 and 10 m resolution Sentinel-2 imagery from 2018-2022 to analyze visitor trends, trail widening, and vegetation disturbance. View evidence ↗

      What they did

      The study used CONAF entry records from 2010-2022 and 10 m resolution Sentinel-2 imagery from 2018-2022 to analyze visitor trends, trail widening, and vegetation disturbance.

      In the paper's own words

      “Visitor records for 2010-2022 came from CONAF’s park entry registration system. Sentinel-2 imagery (10 m resolution) from 2018 to 2022 was used to assess trail widening and vegetation disturbance.”

      Page 2

      Found in: Material

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 2 ↗
    • A modified Delphi approach involving seven experts in park management and conservation ecology was used to determine the scores. View evidence ↗

      What they did

      A modified Delphi approach involving seven experts in park management and conservation ecology was used to determine the scores.

      In the paper's own words

      “Scoring used a modified Delphi approach with seven experts in conservation ecology and park management.”

      Page 2

      Found in: Methods

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 2 ↗
  4. What they found

    • Between 2010 and 2022, annual visitor numbers increased from 128,000 to 242,000, and revenue grew from USD 8.4 million to 22.1 million. View evidence ↗

      What they found

      Between 2010 and 2022, annual visitor numbers increased from 128,000 to 242,000, and revenue grew from USD 8.4 million to 22.1 million.

      In the paper's own words

      “Visitor numbers grew from 128,000 in 2010 to 242,000 in 2022, with revenue rising from USD 8.4 million to 22.1 million.”

      Page 1

      Found in: Introduction

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 1 ↗
    • The Torres Viewpoint had the highest overall score of 8.3/10, yet it also exhibited the most significant damage from vegetation trampling. View evidence ↗

      What they found

      The Torres Viewpoint had the highest overall score of 8.3/10, yet it also exhibited the most significant damage from vegetation trampling.

      In the paper's own words

      “The Torres Viewpoint scored highest overall (8.3/10) but also showed the greatest vegetation trampling damage.”

      Page 1

      Found in: Discussion

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 1 ↗
    • The Paine Circuit achieved the highest scores for biodiversity (8.9) and cultural value (8.2), but the lowest scores for carrying capacity (3.2) and infrastructure (2.6). View evidence ↗

      What they found

      The Paine Circuit achieved the highest scores for biodiversity (8.9) and cultural value (8.2), but the lowest scores for carrying capacity (3.2) and infrastructure (2.6).

      In the paper's own words

      “The Paine Circuit scored highest for cultural value (8.2) and biodiversity (8.9) but lowest for infrastructure (2.6) and carrying capacity (3.2).”

      Page 1

      Found in: Methods

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 1 ↗
    • Physical degradation was evident at the Torres base, where trail width expanded from 1.4 m in 2010 to 2.1 m in 2019. View evidence ↗

      What they found

      Physical degradation was evident at the Torres base, where trail width expanded from 1.4 m in 2010 to 2.1 m in 2019.

      In the paper's own words

      “Trail width at the Torres base increased from 1.4 m to 2.1 m between 2010 and 2019, indicating physical degradation.”

      Page 3

      Found in: Comprehensive Interpretation

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 3 ↗
    • During the COVID-period reduction, trail width decreased from 2.1 m to 1.9 m and NDVI improved, showing that vegetation can recover when visitor pressure is reduced. View evidence ↗

      What they found

      During the COVID-period reduction, trail width decreased from 2.1 m to 1.9 m and NDVI improved, showing that vegetation can recover when visitor pressure is reduced.

      In the paper's own words

      “Trail width actually decreased from 2.1 m to 1.9 m and NDVI improved, demonstrating that vegetation recovery is possible if visitor pressure is managed”

      Page 3

      Found in: Discussion

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 3 ↗
    • Lake Nordenskjöld is the most balanced zone for absorbing more visitors due to its moderate scores across all evaluated criteria. View evidence ↗

      What they found

      Lake Nordenskjöld is the most balanced zone for absorbing more visitors due to its moderate scores across all evaluated criteria.

      In the paper's own words

      “Lake Nordenskjöld, with moderate scores across all criteria, has the most balanced profile for absorbing additional visitors.”

      Page 3

      Found in: Comprehensive Interpretation

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 3 ↗
  5. What it means

    • The authors conclude that investing in infrastructure for underserved zones and implementing a visitor redistribution strategy would enhance the visitor experience and ecological outcomes. View evidence ↗

      What it means

      The authors conclude that investing in infrastructure for underserved zones and implementing a visitor redistribution strategy would enhance the visitor experience and ecological outcomes.

      In the paper's own words

      “A redistribution strategy, combined with infrastructure investment in currently underserved zones, would improve both ecological outcomes and visitor experience.”

      Page 3

      Found in: Conclusion

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 3 ↗
    • The authors recommend that this scoring framework be updated annually and applied to other protected areas experiencing similar visitor pressures. View evidence ↗

      What it means

      The authors recommend that this scoring framework be updated annually and applied to other protected areas experiencing similar visitor pressures.

      In the paper's own words

      “The scoring framework can be updated annually and applied to other protected areas facing similar visitor pressure.”

      Page 3

      Found in: Conclusion

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 3 ↗

Visual summary

3 visuals

Illustrations explain the paper; charts are replotted from the paper's own table values.

AI-generated illustration
AI-generated conceptual illustration (Torres del Paine National Park landscapes). It explains the idea and does not show study data.↗ Enlarge
Ecotourism Suitability Matrix Concept
AI-generated conceptual illustration (Torres del Paine National Park landscapes). It explains the idea and does not show study data.

AI-generated conceptual illustration (Torres del Paine National Park landscapes). It explains the idea and does not show study data.

Open full-size image ↗

Ecotourism Suitability Matrix Concept

AI-generated conceptual illustration (Torres del Paine National Park landscapes). It explains the idea and does not show study data.

View source evidence ↗
Replotted from source data
Replotted from Table 1 (page 2) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.↗ Enlarge
Biodiv. and Landscape and more: Grey Glacier vs Torres View vs French Valley vs Nordenskjöld vs Paine Circuit
Replotted from Table 1 (page 2) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.

Replotted from Table 1 (page 2) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.

Open full-size image ↗

Biodiv. and Landscape and more: Grey Glacier vs Torres View vs French Valley vs Nordenskjöld vs Paine Circuit

Replotted from Table 1 (page 2) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.

View source evidence ↗
Replotted from source data
Replotted from Table 2 (page 2) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.↗ Enlarge
2010-2013: Visitors (k) vs Revenue (M USD)
Replotted from Table 2 (page 2) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.

Replotted from Table 2 (page 2) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.

Open full-size image ↗

2010-2013: Visitors (k) vs Revenue (M USD)

Replotted from Table 2 (page 2) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.

View source evidence ↗

Figures & tables

From the original paper
Ecotourism suitability scores by zone and criterion (scaleTable 1Page 2Visitor trends and environmental indicators (2010-2022)Table 2Page 2Visitor numbers and tourism revenue in Torres del Paine, 2010-2022Figure 1Page 2Ecotourism suitability score matrix across five zones and five criteriaFigure 2Page 2
FULL TEXT Original article · reflowed for reading

Introduction

As Hector Ceballos-Lascurain, the researcher who coined the term ecotourism, argued in 1987, nature-based tourism should finance conservation rather than degrade it [1] . Torres del Paine National Park, a UNESCO Biosphere Reserve in Chile's Magallanes Region, tests this argument every season. Visitor numbers have roughly doubled in a decade, bringing revenue that supports park management but also trail erosion, waste accumulation, and wildlife disturbance [2,3] . Ecotourism differs from conventional nature tourism in three respects: it minimises environmental impact, it educates visitors about ecological processes, and it channels economic benefits to local communities [4,5] . Achieving all three requires spatial planning that directs visitors to zones with the ecological resilience and infrastructure to absorb them, while protecting sensitive habitats [6] . Earlier assessments of Torres del Paine focused on trail condition [7] or economic impact [8] in isolation. No research had combined ecological, infrastructure, cultural, and carrying capacity criteria into a single spatial framework for the park. This research filled that gap by scoring five zones across five criteria, linking the results to visitor flow data, and proposing a redistribution strategy grounded in each zone's assessed capacity.

Practical Applications

The multi-criteria scores generated by this research can directly inform CONAF's annual visitor management plan. Zones scoring high on biodiversity and landscape but low on infrastructure (Paine Circuit, Grey Glacier) are candidates for infrastructure investment before allowing visitor increases. Zones with high carrying capacity but low current visitation (Lake Nordenskjöld) can absorb redirected visitor pressure. The scoring framework is transferable to other Chilean national parks and can be updated annually as new field data become available.

Material and Methods

Material and Methods

Material

This research was conducted at the Department of Mineral Resources, Faculty of Mountain and Polar Studies, Tomsk, Russia, from April 2020 to October 2023. Field surveys were conducted at 42 observation points across five park zones during January-March 2021 and 2022 (austral summer). Visitor records for 2010-2022 came from CONAF's park entry registration system. Sentinel-2 imagery (10 m resolution) from 2018 to 2022 was used to assess trail widening and vegetation disturbance. Biodiversity data were compiled from park species inventories and field transect counts.

Methods

Five zones were delineated: Grey Glacier trail, Torres Viewpoint trail, French Valley, Lake Nordenskjöld shore, and the full Paine Circuit. Each was scored on five criteria (1-10 scale): biodiversity richness, landscape aesthetic quality, infrastructure development, cultural and heritage value, and ecological carrying capacity. Scoring used a modified Delphi approach with seven experts in conservation ecology and park management. Carrying capacity was estimated using the Cifuentes method adapted for Patagonian conditions [9] . Vegetation disturbance was quantified from NDVI change detection between 2018 and 2022. Visitor flow analysis used monthly entry records to identify peak-load periods and spatial clustering.

Results

Results

Comprehensive Interpretation

Visitor numbers grew from 128,000 to 242,000 between 2010 and 2022, with a sharp COVID-related dip in 2020 (Figure 1). The Torres Viewpoint scored highest for landscape (9.8) and biodiversity (9.4) but already operates near capacity during peak months (Table 1, Figure 2). Trail width at the Torres base increased from 1.4 m to 2.1 m between 2010 and 2019, indicating physical degradation. The Paine Circuit's high biodiversity (8.9) and cultural (8.2) scores are constrained by minimal infrastructure (2.6) and low carrying capacity (3.2). Lake Nordenskjöld, with moderate scores across all criteria, has the most balanced profile for absorbing additional visitors.

Figure 2. Ecotourism suitability score matrix across five zones and five criteria
Ecotourism suitability score matrix across five zones and five criteria↗ Enlarge
Figure 2
Ecotourism suitability score matrix across five zones and five criteria

Ecotourism suitability score matrix across five zones and five criteria

Open full-size image ↗
Original paper figureSource PDF · page 2 ↗
Figure 1. Visitor numbers and tourism revenue in Torres del Paine, 2010-2022
Visitor numbers and tourism revenue in Torres del Paine, 2010-2022↗ Enlarge
Figure 1
Visitor numbers and tourism revenue in Torres del Paine, 2010-2022

Visitor numbers and tourism revenue in Torres del Paine, 2010-2022

Open full-size image ↗
Original paper figureSource PDF · page 2 ↗
Table 1. Ecotourism suitability scores by zone and criterion (scale
ZoneBiodiv.LandscapeInfrastr.CulturalCapacity
Grey Glacier8.79.24.36.13.8
Torres View9.49.87.65.46.2
French Valley8.18.63.17.34.1
Nordenskjöld7.47.85.84.75.4
Paine Circuit8.98.42.68.23.2

Table text extracted from the original PDF; superscript letters are shown inline. The original table image is below.

View original table image
Ecotourism suitability scores by zone and criterion (scale↗ Enlarge
Table 1
Ecotourism suitability scores by zone and criterion (scale

Ecotourism suitability scores by zone and criterion (scale

Open full-size image ↗
Original paper tableSource PDF · page 2 ↗

Discussion

The Torres Viewpoint's combination of high scenic quality and relatively good infrastructure explains why it receives roughly 68% of all park visitors [3] . But the trail widening data and NDVI decline show that this concentration is causing measurable environmental damage. Redistributing even 15-20% of these visitors to the Nordenskjöld shorewhich scored adequately on all criteria-would reduce pressure on the Torres trail while maintaining overall visitor satisfaction [10,11] . The COVID-period reduction (2020-2021) provided an unintended natural experiment. Trail width actually decreased from 2.1 m to 1.9 m and NDVI improved, demonstrating that vegetation recovery is possible if visitor pressure is managed [12] . This suggests that seasonal closures or rotating zone access could allow degraded areas to recover without permanent visitor reductions.

Conclusion

This research scored five Torres del Paine zones across five ecotourism criteria and found that current visitor distribution does not match ecological capacity. The most visited zones show the highest degradation, while undervisited zones have capacity to absorb more visitors. A redistribution strategy, combined with infrastructure investment in currently underserved zones, would improve both ecological outcomes and visitor experience. The scoring framework can be updated annually and applied to other protected areas facing similar visitor pressure.

Acknowledgement

Acknowledgements Funding SourcesSupported by institutional research funds for tourism geography and conservation. Institutional SupportFaculty of Mountain and Polar Studies, Tomsk, provided remote sensing processing facilities. Contributions Not Qualifying for AuthorshipThanks to CONAF staff for visitor data and field access.

Figures and tables from the paper

Table 2. Visitor trends and environmental indicators (2010-2022)
PeriodVisitors (k)Revenue (M USD)Trail Width (m)NDVI Change
2010-201314810.51.4-0.02
2014-201720717.51.8-0.05
2018-201922519.62.1-0.08
2020-202215212.11.9-0.04

Table text extracted from the original PDF; superscript letters are shown inline. The original table image is below.

View original table image
Visitor trends and environmental indicators (2010-2022)↗ Enlarge
Table 2
Visitor trends and environmental indicators (2010-2022)

Visitor trends and environmental indicators (2010-2022)

Open full-size image ↗
Original paper tableSource PDF · page 2 ↗

References

14 in the original paper
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  12. Newsome D, Moore SA, Dowling RK. Natural area tourism: ecology, impacts and management, second edition. Channel View Publications. 2012;1-480.
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  14. Wearing S, Neil J. Ecotourism: impacts, potentials and possibilities, second edition. Butterworth-Heinemann. 2009;1-270.