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Research article · 2025 · Full text

International Journal of Geography Geology and Environment

Spatial distribution of healthcare accessibility in the northern cape province

James ThorntonSarah K. Whitfield

Volume 7(2) · Pages 111–113 · DOI: 10.22271/27067483.2025.v7.i2b.576 ↗

Research areasGlobal Health Workforce IssuesPublic Health and Social InequalitiesHealthcare Quality and Satisfaction

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Abstract

Author-written

South Africa’s Northern Cape Province covers 372,889 km² yet holds barely 1.3 million residents. This research assessed healthcare accessibility across five district municipalities using GIS-based service area analysis and community surveys from 860 households. A total of 187 facilities were mapped. Network analysis showed 38.7% of the rural population lived more than 60 minutes from the nearest hospital. Skilled birth attendance dropped from 94.2% within 5 km to 29.8% beyond 150 km (r = -0.97, p < 0.001). Pixley ka Seme and Namakwa districts recorded facility-to-population ratios of 1:8,400 and 1:7,200, far below the 1:3,500 national benchmark. Geographic distance remains the dominant barrier, and mobile clinic expansion offers the most practical short-term solution.

Summary

Source-checked

Plain-language reading of the full paper, prepared with AI and checked against the text. Each point links to the authors' own words.

  1. Why it matters

    • The Northern Cape Province has the lowest population density in South Africa, with towns often separated by more than 100 km of scrubland. View evidence ↗

      Why it matters

      The Northern Cape Province has the lowest population density in South Africa, with towns often separated by more than 100 km of scrubland.

      In the paper's own words

      “The Northern Cape’s population density of 3.4 persons per km² is the country’s lowest, with settlements separated by stretches of Karoo scrubland where distances between towns routinely exceed 100 km”

      Page 1

      Found in: Introduction

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 1 ↗
    • Healthcare accessibility is defined by the fact that patients with the same illness can have different health outcomes based on their location. View evidence ↗

      Why it matters

      Healthcare accessibility is defined by the fact that patients with the same illness can have different health outcomes based on their location.

      In the paper's own words

      “Two patients with the same illness can face very different outcomes depending on where they live. This contrast defines healthcare accessibility”

      Page 1

      Found in: Introduction

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 1 ↗
    • While GIS-based accessibility analysis has been used in other rural global contexts, the specific challenges of the Northern Cape's extreme low density have not been widely studied. View evidence ↗

      Why it matters

      While GIS-based accessibility analysis has been used in other rural global contexts, the specific challenges of the Northern Cape's extreme low density have not been widely studied.

      In the paper's own words

      “GIS-based accessibility analysis has been applied in rural Kenya [5] and Bangladesh [6], but the Northern Cape’s extreme low density has received limited attention.”

      Page 1

      Found in: Introduction

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 1 ↗
  2. The question

    • The study aimed to map all health facilities in the province, calculate travel-time service areas, and determine how this accessibility relates to maternal and child health indicators. View evidence ↗

      The question

      The study aimed to map all health facilities in the province, calculate travel-time service areas, and determine how this accessibility relates to maternal and child health indicators.

      In the paper's own words

      “This research mapped all health facilities in the province, computed travel-time service areas, and linked accessibility to maternal and child health indicators across districts.”

      Page 1

      Found in: Introduction

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 1 ↗
  3. What they did

    • The researchers mapped 187 facilities and conducted community surveys of 860 households across five district municipalities using GIS-based service area analysis. View evidence ↗

      What they did

      The researchers mapped 187 facilities and conducted community surveys of 860 households across five district municipalities using GIS-based service area analysis.

      In the paper's own words

      “This research assessed healthcare accessibility across five district municipalities using GIS-based service area analysis and community surveys from 860 households. A total of 187 facilities were mapped.”

      Page 1

      Found in: Introduction

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 1 ↗
    • Driving-time isochrones of 15, 30, 60, and 120 minutes were calculated using ArcGIS 10.8, accounting for different road types and speeds ranging from 20 km/h to 120 km/h. View evidence ↗

      What they did

      Driving-time isochrones of 15, 30, 60, and 120 minutes were calculated using ArcGIS 10.8, accounting for different road types and speeds ranging from 20 km/h to 120 km/h.

      In the paper's own words

      “Network analysis in ArcGIS 10.8 computed driving-time isochrones (15, 30, 60, 120 min) with road speeds: 120 km/h national, 80 km/h regional, 40 km/h gravel, 20 km/h informal.”

      Page 1

      Found in: Methods

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 1 ↗
    • The study used the two-step floating catchment area (2SFCA) method to create an accessibility index that considers both the supply of facilities and the demand from the population. View evidence ↗

      What they did

      The study used the two-step floating catchment area (2SFCA) method to create an accessibility index that considers both the supply of facilities and the demand from the population.

      In the paper's own words

      “The two-step floating catchment area (2SFCA) method [7] computes an accessibility index accounting for facility supply and population demand.”

      Page 1

      Found in: Introduction

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 1 ↗
  4. What they found

    • Approximately 38.7% of the rural population in the province lives more than 60 minutes away from the nearest hospital. View evidence ↗

      What they found

      Approximately 38.7% of the rural population in the province lives more than 60 minutes away from the nearest hospital.

      In the paper's own words

      “Network analysis showed 38.7% of the rural population lived more than 60 minutes from the nearest hospital.”

      Page 1

      Found in: Discussion

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 1 ↗
    • There is a strong negative correlation between distance and skilled birth attendance, which fell from 94.2% for those within 5 km to 29.8% for those beyond 150 km. View evidence ↗

      What they found

      There is a strong negative correlation between distance and skilled birth attendance, which fell from 94.2% for those within 5 km to 29.8% for those beyond 150 km.

      In the paper's own words

      “Skilled birth attendance dropped from 94.2% within 5 km to 29.8% beyond 150 km (r = -0.97, p < 0.001).”

      Page 1

      Found in: Results

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 1 ↗
    • The facility-to-population ratios in Pixley ka Seme (1:8,400) and Namakwa (1:7,200) are significantly worse than the national benchmark of 1:3,500. View evidence ↗

      What they found

      The facility-to-population ratios in Pixley ka Seme (1:8,400) and Namakwa (1:7,200) are significantly worse than the national benchmark of 1:3,500.

      In the paper's own words

      “Pixley ka Seme and Namakwa districts recorded facility-to-population ratios of 1:8,400 and 1:7,200, far below the 1:3,500 national benchmark.”

      Page 1

      Found in: Results

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 1 ↗
    • Households located more than 60 minutes from a facility were six times more likely to delay seeking care for more than 48 hours. View evidence ↗

      What they found

      Households located more than 60 minutes from a facility were six times more likely to delay seeking care for more than 48 hours.

      In the paper's own words

      “Households beyond 60 minutes were six times more likely to delay care past 48 hours (Table 2).”

      Page 2

      Found in: Results

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 2 ↗
    • Despite 28 mobile clinic routes, only 34% of households were aware of the schedule, and 41% reported that visits were missed. View evidence ↗

      What they found

      Despite 28 mobile clinic routes, only 34% of households were aware of the schedule, and 41% reported that visits were missed.

      In the paper's own words

      “Mobile clinics serve 28 routes but only 34% of households knew the schedule, and 41% reported missed visits.”

      Page 2

      Found in: Discussion

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 2 ↗
  5. What it means

    • The authors recommend strengthening mobile clinic operations through more routes, better schedules, and community notifications as the most practical short-term solution. View evidence ↗

      What it means

      The authors recommend strengthening mobile clinic operations through more routes, better schedules, and community notifications as the most practical short-term solution.

      In the paper's own words

      “Strengthening mobile operations with more routes, reliable schedules, and community notification represents the most practical short-term intervention [10].”

      Page 2

      Found in: Discussion

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 2 ↗
    • To bridge the healthcare gap, the authors conclude that the Pixley ka Seme and Namakwa districts specifically require expanded mobile clinics and telemedicine. View evidence ↗

      What it means

      To bridge the healthcare gap, the authors conclude that the Pixley ka Seme and Namakwa districts specifically require expanded mobile clinics and telemedicine.

      In the paper's own words

      “Pixley ka Seme and Namakwa need expanded mobile clinics and telemedicine options to bridge the gap in this vast, sparsely populated landscape.”

      Page 2

      Found in: Conclusion

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 2 ↗
    • A limitation of the study is that travel-time calculations assumed consistent road conditions, ignoring that gravel roads can become impassable during rain events 2 to 4 times a year. View evidence ↗

      What it means

      A limitation of the study is that travel-time calculations assumed consistent road conditions, ignoring that gravel roads can become impassable during rain events 2 to 4 times a year.

      In the paper's own words

      “Travel-time calculations assumed consistent road conditions, but gravel roads become impassable during rain events occurring 2 to 4 times per year.”

      Page 2

      Found in: Discussion

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 2 ↗
    • The authors note that the sample of 860 households might not fully represent the diversity of barriers faced in the most remote settlements. View evidence ↗

      What it means

      The authors note that the sample of 860 households might not fully represent the diversity of barriers faced in the most remote settlements.

      In the paper's own words

      “The 860-household sample may not capture the full diversity of access barriers in the most remote settlements.”

      Page 2

      Found in: Discussion

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 2 ↗

Visual summary

3 visuals

Illustrations explain the paper; charts are replotted from the paper's own table values.

AI-generated illustration
AI-generated conceptual illustration (A rural landscape in the Northern Cape province featuring a small medical clinic and scattered residential dwellings). It explains the idea and does not show study data.↗ Enlarge
Distance-Decay Effect on Health
AI-generated conceptual illustration (A rural landscape in the Northern Cape province featuring a small medical clinic and scattered residential dwellings). It explains the idea and does not show study data.

AI-generated conceptual illustration (A rural landscape in the Northern Cape province featuring a small medical clinic and scattered residential dwellings). It explains the idea and does not show study data.

Open full-size image ↗

Distance-Decay Effect on Health

AI-generated conceptual illustration (A rural landscape in the Northern Cape province featuring a small medical clinic and scattered residential dwellings). It explains the idea and does not show study data.

View source evidence ↗
Replotted from source data
Replotted from Table 1 (page 2) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.↗ Enlarge
>60min (%) and SBA (%) and more: Frances Baard vs John Taolo vs ZF Mgcawu vs Pixley ka Seme vs Namakwa
Replotted from Table 1 (page 2) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.

Replotted from Table 1 (page 2) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.

Open full-size image ↗

>60min (%) and SBA (%) and more: Frances Baard vs John Taolo vs ZF Mgcawu vs Pixley ka Seme vs Namakwa

Replotted from Table 1 (page 2) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.

View source evidence ↗
Replotted from source data
Replotted from Table 2 (page 2) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.↗ Enlarge
<30 min and 30-60 min and more: Sought care (%) vs Antenatal (%) vs Trad. healer (%) vs Delayed >48h (%)
Replotted from Table 2 (page 2) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.

Replotted from Table 2 (page 2) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.

Open full-size image ↗

<30 min and 30-60 min and more: Sought care (%) vs Antenatal (%) vs Trad. healer (%) vs Delayed >48h (%)

Replotted from Table 2 (page 2) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.

View source evidence ↗

Figures & tables

From the original paper
Healthcare accessibility indicators by districtTable 1Page 2Health-seeking behaviour by accessibility category (n =Table 2Page 2Distribution of healthcare facility types in the NorthernFigure 1Page 2Distance to nearest facility versus health indicators acrossFigure 2Page 2
FULL TEXT Original article · reflowed for reading

Introduction

Two patients with the same illness can face very different outcomes depending on where they live. This contrast defines healthcare accessibility [1]. Post-apartheid reforms expanded primary healthcare [2], but progress has been uneven. The Northern Cape’s population density of 3.4 persons per km² is the country’s lowest, with settlements separated by stretches of Karoo scrubland where distances between towns routinely exceed 100 km [3, 4].

GIS-based accessibility analysis has been applied in rural Kenya [5] and Bangladesh [6], but the Northern Cape’s extreme low density has received limited attention. This research mapped all health facilities in the province, computed travel-time service areas, and linked accessibility to maternal and child health indicators across districts. Theoretical Framework The two-step floating catchment area (2SFCA) method [7] computes an accessibility index accounting for facility supply and population demand. Each facility receives a service-to- population ratio within its catchment, which is then summed for all reachable facilities from each population point.

This was framed within Penchansky and Thomas’s five-dimension model [1] covering availability, accessibility, accommodation, affordability, and acceptability, with geographic accessibility as primary focus.

Materials And Methods

Materials Conducted at the Department of Marine Science, Canberra Centre for Geological Research, ACT, Australia, from February 2020 to December 2023. Facility data from the Northern Cape Department of Health’s 2021 register, verified through 94 field visits. Population from Statistics South Africa’s 2019 estimates. Road network from SANRAL.

Household survey (n = 860) across 43 wards stratified by district and settlement type.

Methods

All 187 facilities geocoded and classified. Network analysis in ArcGIS 10.8 computed driving-time isochrones (15, 30, 60, 120 min) with road speeds: 120 km/h national, 80 km/h regional, 40 km/h gravel, 20 km/h informal. The 2SFCA used 60-minute catchment. Health indicators from DHIS records 2020–2022.

Pearson correlation tested distance-health IJGGE 2025; 7(2): 111-113 James Thornton Department of Marine Science, Canberra Centre for Geological Research, ACT, Australia Sarah Whitfield Department of Marine Science, Canberra Centre for Geological Research, ACT, Australia James Thornton Department of Marine Science, Canberra Centre for Geological Research, ACT, Australia https://www.geojournal.net relationships. Chi-square compared health-seeking behaviour across categories.

Results

Table 1: Healthcare accessibility indicators by district municipality Vacc District Facilities Ratio >60min (%) 2SFCA SBA (%) (%) Frances Baard 54 1:3,800 18.4 0.72 87.3 89.1 John Taolo 38 1:5,100 31.6 0.54 74.6 76.8 ZF Mgcawu 34 1:4,600 29.3 0.61 78.2 80.4 Pixley ka Seme 31 1:8,400 48.7 0.31 56.4 61.2 Namakwa 30 1:7,200 52.1 0.28 51.7 57.3 Table 2: Health-seeking behaviour by accessibility category (n = 860) Indicator <30 min 30-60 min >60 min p-value Sought care (%) 91.4 76.8 53.2 <0.001 Antenatal (%) 88.7 71.3 42.6 <0.001 Trad. healer (%) 12.3 28.7 47.1 <0.001 Delayed >48h (%) 8.6 24.3 51.8 <0.001 Fig 1: Distribution of healthcare facility types in the Northern Cape Province outcomes: r = -0.97 for skilled birth attendance, r = -0.96 for vaccination (Figure 2). Households beyond 60 minutes were six times more likely to delay care past 48 hours (Table 2). Private practices concentrated in urban nodes (Figure 1).

Figure 2. Distance to nearest facility versus health indicators across
Distance to nearest facility versus health indicators across↗ Enlarge
Figure 2
Distance to nearest facility versus health indicators across

Distance to nearest facility versus health indicators across

Open full-size image ↗
Original paper figureSource PDF · page 2 ↗
Figure 1. Distribution of healthcare facility types in the Northern
Distribution of healthcare facility types in the Northern↗ Enlarge
Figure 1
Distribution of healthcare facility types in the Northern

Distribution of healthcare facility types in the Northern

Open full-size image ↗
Original paper figureSource PDF · page 2 ↗
Table 2. Health-seeking behaviour by accessibility category (n =
Indicator<30 min30-60 min>60 minp-value
Sought care (%)91.476.853.2<0.001
Antenatal (%)88.771.342.6<0.001
Trad. healer (%)12.328.747.1<0.001
Delayed >48h (%)8.624.351.8<0.001

Table text extracted from the original PDF; superscript letters are shown inline. The original table image is below.

View original table image
Health-seeking behaviour by accessibility category (n =↗ Enlarge
Table 2
Health-seeking behaviour by accessibility category (n =

Health-seeking behaviour by accessibility category (n =

Open full-size image ↗
Original paper tableSource PDF · page 2 ↗
Table 1. Healthcare accessibility indicators by district
DistrictFacilitiesRatio>60min (%)2SFCASBA (%)Vacc (%)
Frances Baard541:3,80018.40.7287.389.1
John Taolo381:5,10031.60.5474.676.8
ZF Mgcawu341:4,60029.30.6178.280.4
Pixley ka Seme311:8,40048.70.3156.461.2
Namakwa301:7,20052.10.2851.757.3

Table text extracted from the original PDF; superscript letters are shown inline. The original table image is below.

View original table image
Healthcare accessibility indicators by district↗ Enlarge
Table 1
Healthcare accessibility indicators by district

Healthcare accessibility indicators by district

Open full-size image ↗
Original paper tableSource PDF · page 2 ↗

Discussion

Ratios of 1:8,400 and 1:7,200 compare to rural Malawi and northern Mozambique [8], regions with far lower national incomes. The distance-decay pattern for skilled birth attendance (94.2% to 29.8%) mirrors rural Kenya [5] and Nepal [9], but distances here are larger. Some Namakwa settlements sit 200+ km from the nearest hospital with only gravel roads connecting them. Mobile clinics serve 28 routes but only 34% of households knew the schedule, and 41% reported missed visits.

Strengthening mobile operations with more routes, reliable schedules, and community notification represents the most practical short-term intervention [10]. Telemedicine could complement this for consultations not requiring physical examination. Limitations Travel-time calculations assumed consistent road conditions, but gravel roads become impassable during rain events occurring 2 to 4 times per year. The 2SFCA treats all facilities equally despite quality variation.

The 860- household sample may not capture the full diversity of access barriers in the most remote settlements. Traditional healers were mapped but their service quality and referral patterns were not assessed.

Conclusion

Geographic distance remains the dominant healthcare barrier in the Northern Cape, with 38.7% of the rural population beyond 60 minutes from a hospital. Health outcomes deteriorate sharply with distance. Pixley ka Seme and Namakwa need expanded mobile clinics and telemedicine options to bridge the gap in this vast, sparsely populated landscape.

Acknowledgements

Funding Sources Supported by institutional research allocations for health geography. Institutional Support Canberra Centre for Geological Research provided GIS infrastructure. Contributions Not Qualifying for Authorship Thanks to Northern Cape Department of Health for facility data.

Methodology

2004;5(2):119-139. 18. Mokgalaka H, Haangala S, Smit W. Health care access in South Africa: a GIS-based analysis. South African Geographical Journal. 2019;101(3):376-393. 19.

Perry B, Gesler W. Physical access to primary health care in Andean Bolivia. Social Science and Medicine. 2000;50(9):1177-1188. 20. Stock R.

Distance and the utilization of health facilities in rural Nigeria. Social Science and Medicine. 1983;17(9):563-570.

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