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Research article · 2024 · Full text

International Journal of Research in Agronomy

Impact of climate change on crop cultivation in Himachal Pradesh

Kanwar Aditya SinghHardik SharmaPriyanshu WadhwaGurshaminder Singh

Volume 7(4S) · Pages 194–195 · DOI: 10.33545/2618060x.2024.v7.i4sc.578 ↗

Research areasClimate change impacts on agricultureAgricultural risk and resilienceAgricultural Economics and Practices

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Abstract

Author-written

Among the most urgent issues of our day is climate change, which has a big impact on agricultural systems all over the world. India's Himalayan state Himachal Pradesh, which is tucked away in the Himalayan area, is especially susceptible to the effects of climate change because of its varied terrain and reliance on agriculture. The present level of knowledge on how climate change is affecting agricultural farming in Himachal Pradesh is reviewed in this research. It looks at how temperature, precipitation patterns, and extreme weather events have changed over time and how it has affected agricultural productivity. The adaptation and mitigation techniques that may be used to increase the agricultural systems' resilience in Himachal Pradesh to climate change are also covered in this study. Historical climate data spanning several decades are analysed to identify trends and variability in temperature, precipitation, and extreme weather events. Climate projection models are utilized to simulate future climate scenarios, considering different greenhouse gas emission trajectories. The findings of this study contribute to a better understanding of the complex interactions between climate change and crop production in Himachal Pradesh, informing the development of adaptation and mitigation measures to enhance the resilience of agricultural systems in the region.

Summary

Source-checked

Plain-language reading of the full paper, prepared with AI and checked against the text. Each point links to the authors' own words.

  1. Why it matters

    • Climate change is considered one of the most pressing global issues due to its significant impact on agricultural systems. View evidence ↗

      Why it matters

      Climate change is considered one of the most pressing global issues due to its significant impact on agricultural systems.

      In the paper's own words

      “Among the most urgent issues of our day is climate change, which has a big impact on agricultural systems all over the world.”

      Page 1

      Found in: Introduction

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 1 ↗
    • Himachal Pradesh is particularly vulnerable to climate change because of its agricultural dependence and diverse terrain. View evidence ↗

      Why it matters

      Himachal Pradesh is particularly vulnerable to climate change because of its agricultural dependence and diverse terrain.

      In the paper's own words

      “India's Himalayan state Himachal Pradesh, which is tucked away in the Himalayan area, is especially susceptible to the effects of climate change because of its varied terrain and reliance on agriculture.”

      Page 1

      Found in: Introduction

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 1 ↗
    • Climate change affects agriculture through complex factors such as soil fertility, water availability, crop yields, and the prevalence of pests and diseases. View evidence ↗

      Why it matters

      Climate change affects agriculture through complex factors such as soil fertility, water availability, crop yields, and the prevalence of pests and diseases.

      In the paper's own words

      “Numerous and intricate factors, including crop yields, water availability, soil fertility, pest and disease prevalence, and overall food security, are all impacted by climate change's effects on agriculture.”

      Page 1

      Found in: Introduction

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 1 ↗
  2. The question

    • The study aims to review current knowledge regarding the effects of climate change on agricultural farming in Himachal Pradesh. View evidence ↗

      The question

      The study aims to review current knowledge regarding the effects of climate change on agricultural farming in Himachal Pradesh.

      In the paper's own words

      “The present level of knowledge on how climate change is affecting agricultural farming in Himachal Pradesh is reviewed in this research.”

      Page 1

      Found in: Conclusion

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 1 ↗
    • The research also seeks to identify adaptation and mitigation techniques to improve the resilience of the region's agricultural systems. View evidence ↗

      The question

      The research also seeks to identify adaptation and mitigation techniques to improve the resilience of the region's agricultural systems.

      In the paper's own words

      “The adaptation and mitigation techniques that may be used to increase the agricultural systems' resilience in Himachal Pradesh to climate change are also covered in this study.”

      Page 1

      Found in: Conclusion

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 1 ↗
  3. What they did

    • The research was carried out across four districts in Himachal Pradesh: Bilaspur, Mandi, Kullu, and Shimla. View evidence ↗

      What they did

      The research was carried out across four districts in Himachal Pradesh: Bilaspur, Mandi, Kullu, and Shimla.

      In the paper's own words

      “The study was conducted in district Bilaspur, Mandi, Kullu & Shimla of Himachal Pradesh.”

      Page 1

      Found in: Materials and Methodologies

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 1 ↗
    • The study sampled 100 farmers in total, with 25 participants selected from each of the four districts. View evidence ↗

      What they did

      The study sampled 100 farmers in total, with 25 participants selected from each of the four districts.

      In the paper's own words

      “100 farmers were selected from these districts, 25 from Bilaspur, 25 from Mandi, 25 from Kullu and 25 from Shimla.”

      Page 1

      Found in: Materials and Methodologies

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 1 ↗
    • Data was collected through interviews and a structured questionnaire designed to examine various agronomical parameters. View evidence ↗

      What they did

      Data was collected through interviews and a structured questionnaire designed to examine various agronomical parameters.

      In the paper's own words

      “To fully cover every facet of the farmers' agronomical practices, a questionnaire was created to interview the farmers and closely scrutinize each parameter.”

      Page 1

      Found in: Materials and Methodologies

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 1 ↗
  4. What they found

    • Farmer awareness of weather changes was high across all districts, ranging from 83% in Shimla to 94% in Mandi. View evidence ↗

      What they found

      Farmer awareness of weather changes was high across all districts, ranging from 83% in Shimla to 94% in Mandi.

      In the paper's own words

      “Districts Yes (percentage) No (percentage) Shimla 83 17 Kullu & Manali 92 8 Bilaspur 86 14 Mandi 94 6”

      Page 2

      Found in: Materials and Methodologies

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 2 ↗
    • Among the indicators surveyed, 85 respondents agreed that the climate has changed, while 5 disagreed and 10 remained neutral. View evidence ↗

      What they found

      Among the indicators surveyed, 85 respondents agreed that the climate has changed, while 5 disagreed and 10 remained neutral.

      In the paper's own words

      “Indicators Yes No Neutral Has the climate changed? 85 5 10”

      Page 2

      Found in: Introduction

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 2 ↗
    • Erratic or shifted rainfall was the most widely recognized indicator of change, with 90 respondents answering 'Yes'. View evidence ↗

      What they found

      Erratic or shifted rainfall was the most widely recognized indicator of change, with 90 respondents answering 'Yes'.

      In the paper's own words

      “Erratic rainfall/shift in rainfall 90 5 5”

      Page 2

      Found in: Introduction

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 2 ↗
    • An increase in crop pests and diseases was reported by 85 respondents. View evidence ↗

      What they found

      An increase in crop pests and diseases was reported by 85 respondents.

      In the paper's own words

      “Increase in pest/disease in crops 85 10 5”

      Page 2

      Found in: Introduction

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 2 ↗
    • Farmers are adapting to changing climatic conditions by switching to hybrid crop varieties for better tolerance. View evidence ↗

      What they found

      Farmers are adapting to changing climatic conditions by switching to hybrid crop varieties for better tolerance.

      In the paper's own words

      “But due to change in climate farmers are opting for hybrid varieties so that crops can tolerate change in climatic conditions.”

      Page 2

      Found in: Results and Discussion

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 2 ↗
    • Climate fluctuations, combined with overexploitation, have led to habitat loss, species migration, and extinction of some wild foodstuffs and medicinal plants. View evidence ↗

      What they found

      Climate fluctuations, combined with overexploitation, have led to habitat loss, species migration, and extinction of some wild foodstuffs and medicinal plants.

      In the paper's own words

      “The decrease in the availability of wild foodstuffs and medicinal plants as a result of overexploitation, which was further exacerbated by climate fluctuation, led to the loss of habitats, the migration of species towards higher or lower altitudes, and the extinction of entire species.”

      Page 2

      Found in: Discussion

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 2 ↗
  5. What it means

    • The authors conclude that integrating scientific data with indigenous knowledge and local perceptions is a key strategy for improving climate adaptation. View evidence ↗

      What it means

      The authors conclude that integrating scientific data with indigenous knowledge and local perceptions is a key strategy for improving climate adaptation.

      In the paper's own words

      “One strategy to increase human capacity for global climate change adaptation and mitigation is to integrate scientific information about climate change with people's perceptions and indigenous knowledge.”

      Page 2

      Found in: Conclusion

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 2 ↗
    • The authors state that both mitigation and adaptation strategies are necessary to address the challenges of climate variability. View evidence ↗

      What it means

      The authors state that both mitigation and adaptation strategies are necessary to address the challenges of climate variability.

      In the paper's own words

      “Mitigation and adaptation strategies are needed to address the issues posed by climate change and variability.”

      Page 2

      Found in: Conclusion

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 2 ↗
    • The authors note that previous research has often focused on negative effects while ignoring indigenous adaptation and mitigation strategies. View evidence ↗

      What it means

      The authors note that previous research has often focused on negative effects while ignoring indigenous adaptation and mitigation strategies.

      In the paper's own words

      “Most of the research done to far has ignored the indigenous knowledge of adaptation and mitigation strategies created by the local people in favor of concentrating on the negative effects of climate change.”

      Page 2

      Found in: Conclusion

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 2 ↗

Visual summary

3 visuals

Illustrations explain the paper; charts are replotted from the paper's own table values.

AI-generated illustration
AI-generated conceptual illustration (Apple orchards in the Himalayan mountains of Himachal Pradesh). It explains the idea and does not show study data.↗ Enlarge
Knowledge Integration Model
AI-generated conceptual illustration (Apple orchards in the Himalayan mountains of Himachal Pradesh). It explains the idea and does not show study data.

AI-generated conceptual illustration (Apple orchards in the Himalayan mountains of Himachal Pradesh). It explains the idea and does not show study data.

Open full-size image ↗

Knowledge Integration Model

AI-generated conceptual illustration (Apple orchards in the Himalayan mountains of Himachal Pradesh). It explains the idea and does not show study data.

View source evidence ↗
Replotted from source data
Replotted from a table (page 2) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.↗ Enlarge
Yes (percentage): Shimla vs Kullu & Manali vs Bilaspur vs Mandi
Replotted from a table (page 2) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.

Replotted from a table (page 2) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.

Open full-size image ↗

Yes (percentage): Shimla vs Kullu & Manali vs Bilaspur vs Mandi

Replotted from a table (page 2) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.

View source evidence ↗
Replotted from source data
Replotted from a table (page 2) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.↗ Enlarge
Yes: Has the climate changed? vs Increase in temperature vs Decrease in snowfall vs Erratic rainfall/shift... vs Shift in crop maturation
Replotted from a table (page 2) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.

Replotted from a table (page 2) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.

Open full-size image ↗

Yes: Has the climate changed? vs Increase in temperature vs Decrease in snowfall vs Erratic rainfall/shift... vs Shift in crop maturation

Replotted from a table (page 2) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.

View source evidence ↗
FULL TEXT Original article · reflowed for reading

Introduction

One of the biggest problems confronting humanity in the twenty-first century is climate change, which has profound effects on many different industries, including agriculture. According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), climate change is a long-term alteration in weather patterns that results from industrial processes, the burning of fossil fuels, deforestation, and variations in temperature and precipitation. Global warming and the intensified greenhouse effect are caused by these activities' atmospheric emission of greenhouse gases (GHGs). Numerous and intricate factors, including crop yields, water availability, soil fertility, pest and disease prevalence, and overall food security, are all impacted by climate change's effects on agriculture. Climate is a fundamental aspect of agriculture; various crops have varied requirements for growth and yield, such as temperature, rainfall, and seasonality. These circumstances are becoming more and more disturbed due to climate change, which presents serious difficulties for farmers all over the world.

Materials and Methodologies

The study was conducted in district Bilaspur, Mandi, Kullu & Shimla of Himachal Pradesh. 100 farmers were selected from these districts, 25 from Bilaspur, 25 from Mandi, 25 from Kullu and 25 from Shimla. The farmers were asked to participate in a thorough discussion on their social standing and the plant protection practices they employ during the cropping cycle. Both at their homes and on their farms, the respondents were questioned. To fully cover every facet of the farmers' agronomical practices, a questionnaire was created to interview the farmers and closely scrutinize each parameter.

Results and Discussion

Crops cultivated by farmers in Bilaspur and Mandi regions are wheat, maize, paddy, sugarcane, tomatoes, fruit crops like as mango, lichi, orange and pomegranate. With change in climatic conditions farmers of Kullu valley are taking interest in pomegranate and apple as well. Shimla is known for apple cultivation at national level. Upper valleys of Shimla and Kullu are good producers of Almonds, strawberries, peach, plum, apricot. But due to change in climate farmers are opting for hybrid varieties so that crops can tolerate change in climatic conditions. Mitigation and Adaptation plans can help farmers and growers in such conditions.

Awareness of farmers about weather changes in their regions.

Districts

Districts

Discussion

The Himalayan Mountain agroecosystem is heavily reliant on the weather; seasonal rains and alterations in the earth's temperature have a detrimental effect on the region's agricultural productivity and food supply. People experienced and acknowledged that the region's low yield of agrihorticultural crops and vegetables was caused by irregular rainfall over the past few years (delayed or shifted rainfall, low rainfall or no rainfall), drastic changes in the frequency and volume of precipitation patterns, low snowfall, and rising temperatures. Pests, illnesses, and invasive plant species have proliferated as a result of climate change, directly affecting crop yield and food security.

In recent times, there has been a decrease in the seasonal availability and amounts of nontimber forest products, fuel wood, fodder, and green grasses. These resources are essential for the agroecosystem and rural landscape to operate properly and to support everyday tasks. Fodder, fuelwood, leaf litter, and non-timber forest products (NTFPs) are examples of forest resources that have decreased over time as a result of a number of reasons, including climate change. The decrease in the availability of wild foodstuffs and medicinal plants as a result of overexploitation, which was further exacerbated by climate fluctuation, led to the loss of habitats, the migration of species towards higher or lower altitudes, and the extinction of entire species. A lot of individuals began growing therapeutic plants as a result of climate change.

Conclusion

Mitigation and adaptation strategies are needed to address the issues posed by climate change and variability. Given that adaptation is often a more cost-effective solution than mitigation when it comes to addressing the immediate and ongoing challenges posed by climate change, adaptation is typically a longer-term process. Most of the research done to far has ignored the indigenous knowledge of adaptation and mitigation strategies created by the local people in favor of concentrating on the negative effects of climate change. Although people's perceptions and awareness of climate change might be valuable resources for adapting to it, governments and policy planners at the national and international levels seldom take this into account when designing and implementing mitigation and adaptation plans. Individuals are experimenting with novel methods of adapting to climate change and unpredictability, which is improving their capacity for adaptation. However, organizations that provide services might not be identifying these innovations and sharing them with others who could find value in them. One strategy to increase human capacity for global climate change adaptation and mitigation is to integrate scientific information about climate change with people's perceptions and indigenous knowledge. This necessitates greater scientific investigation, awareness-building, and improved access to pertinent data and information, especially about local residents' understanding and experiences regarding climate change.

References

5 in the original paper
  1. Negi GCS, Samal PK, Kuniyal JC, et al. Impact of climate change on the Western Himalayan Mountain ecosystem: An overview. Tropical ecology. 2012;53(3):345-356.
  2. Negi VS, Maikhuri RK. Socio-ecological and religious perspective of agrobiodiversity conservation: issues, concern and priority for sustainable agriculture, Uttarakhand Himalaya. Journal of Agricultural and Environmental Ethics. 2012;26:491-512. DOI: 10.1007/s10806-012-9386-y.
  3. Negi VS, Maikhuri RK, Pharswan D, Thakur S, Dhyani PP. Climate change impact in the Western Himalaya: people's perception and adaptive strategies. Journal of Mountain Science. 2017;14(2):403-416.
  4. Rana RS, Bhagat RM, Kalia V. Impact of climate change on apple crop in Himachal Pradesh. Journal of Agrometeorology. 2011 Dec 1;13(2):97-103.
  5. Kumari A, Kaushal P, Dubey JK, Sharma DK. Climate change-an impact study in Himachal Pradesh. International Journal of Farm Sciences. 2012;2(2):95-101.

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