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Stochastic analysis of two unit system

Pardeep Kumar✉Mimansha

Abstract

The paper analyzes the sensitivity of two unit system for system parameters uses Regenerative Point Graphical Technique (RPGT). Taking failure and repair rates constant. A state diagram of the system depicting the transition rates is drawn. Expressions for path probabilities mean sojourn times, mean time to system failure, availability of the system, busy period of the server, expected number of server’s visits are derived using RPGT. Sensitive analysis of the system is done. Tables and graphs are prepared to compare and draw the conclusion.

Full Text

Tables and figures are in the full-text PDF.

Introduction

Individual units play a critical role in the proper functioning of a system, which can be made up of a number of them. A stochastic analysis and sensitivity analysis of a two-unit system (one with parallel subunits and the other with series subunits) is performed in this work. Demonstrated how to solve redundancy allocation in complicated systems using a heuristic method. The major goal of this work, according to Kumar et al. (2019) [3] , is to evaluate a washing unit in the paper sector using RPGT. Kumar et al. (2018, 2017) [8,9] have calculated the behaviour analysis of a bread organization and edible oil refinery plant. Kumar et al. (2019) [4] analysed a cold standby framework with priority for preventive maintenance contains two identical subunits with server failure utilizing RPGT. The 3:4: G System was described by Kumar et al. (2018) [9] . Kumar et al. (2017) [8] investigated the urea fertilizer industry's behavior analysis. For the profit analysis, we used two units, A and B, in which unit 'A' has sub units in parallel, so if one or more sub units fail, the system works at a reduced capacity, and if the number of sub unit failures is greater than a predefined number or else, the system is considered to be in a failed state. Because the sub units in Unit 'B' are connected in series, if any of them fail, the unit will fail, putting the entire system in a failed condition. The fuzzy idea is utilized to determine a unit's failure/working condition. A transition diagram of the system is built using exponential (constant) failure rates, general & independent repair rates, and various probabilities to determine Primary circuits, Secondary circuits, Tertiary circuits, and Base state. To determine system parameters, the problem is solved using RPGT. Graphs and tables are used to illustrate system behavior. For profit analysis of the system, specific cases are taken for various repair and failure rates.

Assumptions and Notations

 Failures and repairs are statistically independent.  Repair is perfect and repaired system is as good as new one.  Nothing can fail when the system is in failed state. αi/n: Constant failure rate of the servers βi/n: Constant repair rate of the units

Transition Diagrams

Model Description

Both units are initially in a good state denoted by S0, but when unit 'A' fails partially, the system enters the reduced state S1 where the server begins repairing the partially failed unit, and when it is fully repaired, the system returns to the full capacity working state S0. If no further failures occur, the system enters the state S2, from where it returns to the full capacity working state S0 after repair. If in state S0 unit 'B' fails than the system enters state S3 where it is repaired and the system reenters the S0 and in reduced state S1 if the unit 'B' fails in the organization enters the S4 where it is restored and the organization re-enters the state S1. Disappointment and repair rates are characterized along the pathways of the transition diagram as shown in fig. 1.

Transition Probability and the Mean sojourn times

Table 1: Transition Probabilities qi,j(t) Pij = q*i,j(0) ]𝑡 µ0 = n/(α1+α)

Evaluation of Parameters

The Mean time to system failure and all the key parameters of the system under steady state conditions are evaluated, applying Regenerative Point Graphical Technique (RPGT) and using '0' as the base-state of the system as under:

V0,0 = 1 (Verified) V0,1 = (0,1)/{1-(1,4,1)} = p0,1/(1-p1,4p4,1) V0,2 = (0,1,2)/{1-(1,4,1)} = p0,1p1,2/(1-p1,4p4,1) V0,3 = (0,3) = p0,3 V0,4 = (0,1,4)/{1-(1,4,1)} = p0,1p1,4/(1-p1,4p4,1)

MTSF (T0):

The regenerative un-failed states to which the system can transit (initial state '0'), before entering any failed state are: 'i' = 1 taking 'ξ' = '0'.

Availability of the System (A0):

The regenerative states at which the system is available are 'j' = 0,1 and the regenerative states are 'i' = 0 & 1 taking 'ξ' = '0'

Busy Period of the Server: The regenerative states where server is busy are j = 1, 2, 3, 4 and regenerative states are 'i' = 0 & 1, taking ξ = '0', the total fraction of time for which the server remains busy is

Conclusion

From the fig. 2 and table 3, it is seen that profit increase with the expansion in repair rates for example profit is directly proportional to the repair rates of units and profit diminishes with the expansion in the estimations of failure rates of units, henceforth profit function is conversely proportional to the disappointment/failure rates, in this way for optimum profit function esteems repairman ought to be effective concerning as could reasonably be expected and failure rates of units ought to be small as these can be for example good quality units and over-structured units ought to be utilized for better outcomes.

References

  1. Rajbala, Arun Kumar, Deepika Garg. Systems Modeling and Analysis: A Case Study of EAEP Manufacturing Plant", International Journal of Advanced Science and Technology. 2019;28(14):08-18.
  2. Rajbala, Deepika Garg. Behaviour analysis of alloy wheel plant. International Journal of Engineering and Advanced Technology (IJEAT). 2019;9(2):319-327. ISSN 2249-8958.
  3. Kumar A, Garg D, Goel P. Mathematical modeling and behavioral analysis of a washing unit in paper mill. International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management. 2019;10(6):1639-1645.
  4. Kumar A, Garg D, Goel P. Sensitivity Analysis of a Cold Standby System with Priority for Preventive Maintenance. Journal of Advances and Scholarly Researches in Allied Education. 2019;16(4):253-258.
  5. Kumar A, Goel P, Garg D. Behaviour analysis of a bread making system. International Journal of Statistics and Applied Mathematics. 2018;3(6):56-61.
  6. Kumar A, Garg D, Goel P. Mathematical modeling and profit analysis of an edible oil refinery industry. Airo International Research Journal. 2017;12:1-14.
  7. Kumar A, Garg D, Goel P. Sensitivity Analysis of 3:4: Good System. International Journal of Advance Research in Science and Engineering. 2018;7(2):851-862.
  8. Kumar A, Goel P, Garg D, Sahu A. System behavior analysis in the urea fertilizer industry. Book: Data and Analysis communications in computer and information Science. 2017;1:3-12.
Citations
6
FWCI
1.12
field-weighted impact
References
7
Percentile
81%
vs. same field & year
Citations per year
References
Behaviour analysis of a bread making system
International Journal of Statistics and Applied Mathematics · 2018 · 15 citations
International Journal of Statistics and Applied Mathematics
International Journal of Statistics and Applied Mathematics · 2018 · 81 citations

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