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Research article · 2022 · Full text

International Journal of Statistics and Applied Mathematics

Power size biased exponential distribution with applications in bio-science

S Qurat Ul AinRajnee Tripathi

Volume 7(1) · Pages 01–07 · DOI: 10.22271/maths.2022.v7.i1a.767 ↗

Research areasStatistical Distribution Estimation and ApplicationsBayesian Methods and Mixture ModelsStatistical Methods and Bayesian Inference

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Abstract

Author-written

In this article, a modified version of size biased exponential distribution has been introduced and named as Power Size Biased Exponential Distribution (PSBED). Various statistical properties of the said distribution have been derived. The pdf, CDF and HRF of the distribution has been represented through the graphs. The method of maximum likelihood estimation MLE has been used to estimate the parameters of the distribution. Finally the performance of the distribution is checked through the data set where it shows the better results than the parallel distributions.

Summary

Source-checked

Plain-language reading of the full paper, prepared with AI and checked against the text. Each point links to the authors' own words.

  1. Why it matters

    • Researchers are seeking more flexible and meaningful probability distributions to better model lifetime data with monotone failure rates. View evidence ↗

      Why it matters

      Researchers are seeking more flexible and meaningful probability distributions to better model lifetime data with monotone failure rates.

      In the paper's own words

      “In recent developments, researchers focused on generating more flexible, tractable and meaningful distributions and modeled various types of lifetime data with monotone failure rates.”

      Page 1

      Found in: Introduction

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 1 ↗
    • Existing simple distributions often fail to provide a sound parametric fit for practical applications or model complex bathtub and multimodal shaped failure rates. View evidence ↗

      Why it matters

      Existing simple distributions often fail to provide a sound parametric fit for practical applications or model complex bathtub and multimodal shaped failure rates.

      In the paper's own words

      “In spite of their simplicity in solving many problems of lifetime data and reliability studies, such existing distributions are not useful to model bathtub and multimodal shaped failure rates and also fail to provide sound parametric fit to some practical application.”

      Page 1

      Found in: Introduction

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 1 ↗
    • Size-biased and weighted distributions are used in practice when sample observations are recorded with unequal probabilities. View evidence ↗

      Why it matters

      Size-biased and weighted distributions are used in practice when sample observations are recorded with unequal probabilities.

      In the paper's own words

      “Weighted in general and size biased in particular distributions arise in practice when observations from a sample are recorded with unequal probability”

      Page 1

      Found in: Introduction

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 1 ↗
  2. The question

    • The authors aim to introduce a modified version of the size-biased exponential distribution, termed the Power Size Biased Exponential Distribution (PSBED). View evidence ↗

      The question

      The authors aim to introduce a modified version of the size-biased exponential distribution, termed the Power Size Biased Exponential Distribution (PSBED).

      In the paper's own words

      “In this article, a modified version of size biased exponential distribution has been introduced and named as Power Size Biased Exponential Distribution (PSBED).”

      Page 1

      Found in: Conclusion

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 1 ↗
  3. What they did

    • The PSBED is defined by a probability density function (pdf) involving parameters alpha and theta. View evidence ↗

      What they did

      The PSBED is defined by a probability density function (pdf) involving parameters alpha and theta.

      In the paper's own words

      “𝑓(𝑥, 𝛼, 𝜃) = 𝛼𝜃2𝑥2𝛼−1𝑒−𝜃𝑥𝛼 , 𝑥> 0 , 𝛼, 𝜃> 0”

      Page 2

      Found in: Introduction

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 2 ↗
    • The authors used the Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) method to estimate the distribution's parameters. View evidence ↗

      What they did

      The authors used the Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) method to estimate the distribution's parameters.

      In the paper's own words

      “The method of maximum likelihood estimation MLE has been used to estimate the parameters of the distribution.”

      Page 1

      Found in: Conclusion

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 1 ↗
    • The performance of the PSBED was tested using two bioscience-related datasets. View evidence ↗

      What they did

      The performance of the PSBED was tested using two bioscience-related datasets.

      In the paper's own words

      “The usefulness of the formulated distribution has been explained through two bioscience related data sets.”

      Page 5

      Found in: Data Analysis

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 5 ↗
    • Goodness of fit was evaluated using -log l, Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), Consistent AIC (CAIC), and Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC). View evidence ↗

      What they did

      Goodness of fit was evaluated using -log l, Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), Consistent AIC (CAIC), and Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC).

      In the paper's own words

      “In order to compare the efficiency of the formulated distribution, we consider various criterions for goodness of fit such as−log 𝑙, AIC, CAIC and BIC.”

      Page 5

      Found in: Data Analysis

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 5 ↗
  4. What they found

    • The first dataset analyzed consisted of remission times in months for 128 bladder cancer patients. View evidence ↗

      What they found

      The first dataset analyzed consisted of remission times in months for 128 bladder cancer patients.

      In the paper's own words

      “Data set 1: The data set represents the remission times (in months) of a random sample of 128 bladder cancer patients.”

      Page 5

      Found in: Data Analysis

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 5 ↗
    • The second dataset analyzed consisted of survival times in weeks for 33 patients with acute myelogenous leukemia. View evidence ↗

      What they found

      The second dataset analyzed consisted of survival times in weeks for 33 patients with acute myelogenous leukemia.

      In the paper's own words

      “Data Set 2: This data represents the survival times, in weeks of 33 patients suffering from acute myelogenous leukemia.”

      Page 6

      Found in: Data Analysis

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 6 ↗
    • For the first dataset, the PSBE model showed a better fit than the WAD model, with a lower AIC of 799.59 compared to 830.99. View evidence ↗

      What they found

      For the first dataset, the PSBE model showed a better fit than the WAD model, with a lower AIC of 799.59 compared to 830.99.

      In the paper's own words

      “PSBE | 𝛼̂ = 0.72031 𝛽̂ = 0.43880 | 𝛼̂ = 0.0287 𝛽̂ = 0.0470 | 397.79 | 799.59 | 799.69 | 805.23”

      Page 6

      “WAD | 𝛼̂ = 0.1074 𝛽̂ = 0.0010 | 𝛼̂ = 0.0143 𝛽̂ = 0.2359 | 413.49 | 830.99 | 831.095 | 836.63”

      Page 6

      Found in: Table 2

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 6 ↗
    • For the second dataset, the PSBE model outperformed the LBAD model, achieving a lower AIC of 311.01 versus 345.54. View evidence ↗

      What they found

      For the second dataset, the PSBE model outperformed the LBAD model, achieving a lower AIC of 311.01 versus 345.54.

      In the paper's own words

      “PSBE | 𝛼̂ = 0.5122 𝛽̂ = 0.3583 | 𝛼̂ = 0.0510 𝛽̂ = 0.067 | 153.50 | 311.01 | 311.41 | 314.006”

      Page 6

      “LBAD | 𝛼̂ = 0.0244 𝛼̂ = 0.0030 | 171.77 | 345.54 | 345.67 | 347.03”

      Page 6

      Found in: Table 4

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 6 ↗
    • Across both datasets, the PSBED consistently showed lower AIC, CAIC, and BIC values than the parallel distributions. View evidence ↗

      What they found

      Across both datasets, the PSBED consistently showed lower AIC, CAIC, and BIC values than the parallel distributions.

      In the paper's own words

      “It is evident from table 2 and table 4 that the formulated distribution has lower value of AIC, CAIC, BIC than compared ones.”

      Page 6

      Found in: Data Analysis

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 6 ↗
  5. What it means

    • The authors conclude that the Power Size Biased Exponential Distribution provides a better fit for the analyzed bio-science data. View evidence ↗

      What it means

      The authors conclude that the Power Size Biased Exponential Distribution provides a better fit for the analyzed bio-science data.

      In the paper's own words

      “Hence power size biased exponential distribution leads better fit.”

      Page 6

      Found in: Data Analysis

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 6 ↗
    • The authors state that the PSBED demonstrates superior results compared to parallel distributions when tested on real-world datasets. View evidence ↗

      What it means

      The authors state that the PSBED demonstrates superior results compared to parallel distributions when tested on real-world datasets.

      In the paper's own words

      “Finally, the performance of the distribution is checked through the data set where it shows better results than the parallel distributions.”

      Page 7

      Found in: Conclusion

      Read it in the full textOpen PDF at page 7 ↗

Visual summary

3 visuals

Illustrations explain the paper; charts are replotted from the paper's own table values.

AI-generated illustration
AI-generated conceptual illustration (Mathematical probability density curves on a coordinate plane). It explains the idea and does not show study data.↗ Enlarge
PSBED Conceptual Framework
AI-generated conceptual illustration (Mathematical probability density curves on a coordinate plane). It explains the idea and does not show study data.

AI-generated conceptual illustration (Mathematical probability density curves on a coordinate plane). It explains the idea and does not show study data.

Open full-size image ↗

PSBED Conceptual Framework

AI-generated conceptual illustration (Mathematical probability density curves on a coordinate plane). It explains the idea and does not show study data.

View source evidence ↗
Replotted from source data
Replotted from Table 2 (page 6) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.↗ Enlarge
AIC and CAIC and more: PSBE vs WAD vs ABAD vs LBAD vs AD
Replotted from Table 2 (page 6) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.

Replotted from Table 2 (page 6) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.

Open full-size image ↗

AIC and CAIC and more: PSBE vs WAD vs ABAD vs LBAD vs AD

Replotted from Table 2 (page 6) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.

View source evidence ↗
Replotted from source data
Replotted from Table 4 (page 6) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.↗ Enlarge
AIC and CAIC and more: PSBE vs WAD vs ABAD vs LBAD vs AD
Replotted from Table 4 (page 6) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.

Replotted from Table 4 (page 6) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.

Open full-size image ↗

AIC and CAIC and more: PSBE vs WAD vs ABAD vs LBAD vs AD

Replotted from Table 4 (page 6) of the original paper. Every bar is the paper's own table value.

View source evidence ↗

Figures & tables

From the original paper
Data summary for the first data setTable 1Page 5Performance of distributions for first Data setTable 2Page 6Data summary for the first data setTable 3Page 6Performance of distributions for second data setTable 4Page 61: PSBE FittingFigure 1Page 62: PSBE FittingFigure 1Page 6
FULL TEXT Original article · reflowed for reading

Introduction

In recent developments, researchers focused on generating more flexible, tractable and meaningful distributions and modeled various types of lifetime data with monotone failure rates. In spite of their simplicity in solving many problems of lifetime data and reliability studies, such existing distributions are not useful to model bathtub and multimodal shaped failure rates and also fail to provide sound parametric fit to some practical application. In recent past, new families of probability distributions have been defined that are extension of well-known families of distributions. These newly developed families/classes of distributions provide greater flexibility in modeling complex data. Weighted in general and size biased in particular distributions arise in practice when observations from a sample are recorded with unequal probability and provide unifying approach for the problems when the observations fall in the non-experimental, non replicated and non-random categories, first introduced by to model ascertainment bias these are later formulized in uniform theory by. Discussed that weighted distributions have various statistical applications, especially in analysis of data relating to ecology and human populations. For the first, time applied weighted distribution to connect with sampling wood cells. Gove (2003) [9] studied some of the latest results on sizebiased distributions especially conceder the Weibull family relating to application and parameter estimation with method of moments and maximum likelihood in forestry. A weighted version of exponential distribution is discussed by Mir et al. (2013) [5] . They derive some mathematical properties and estimate the parameter with method of moments, maximum likelihood and Bayesian method. The probability density function of size biased exponential distribution is given by;

And the corresponding cdf is given as;

The Power Size Biased Exponential Distribution

If 𝑌 be a random variable that follows Size Biased Exponential distribution, then the random variable 𝑋 = 𝑌

b) Moments

Suppose x be a random variable follows PSBED. Then the r moment denoted by 𝜇 𝑟 ′ is given as;

Substituting 𝜃𝑥 𝛼 = 𝑧,then solving the integral we get;

By substituting𝑟 = 1, 2, 3 and 4 we obtain the first four moments of the distribution about origin

Variance of the distribution is given by;

Substituting the values of 𝜇 2 ′ and 𝜇 1 ′ from the above equations, we get;

c) Moment generating function

Let 𝑥 be a random variable follows power biased exponential distribution then the moment generating function denoted by 𝑀 𝑥 (𝑡) is obtained as;

Using Taylor's theorem, we get

d) Characteristics function of power size biased exponential distribution

Let 𝑥 be a random variable follows power size biased exponential distribution then the moment generating function denoted by 𝜙 𝑥 (𝑡) is obtained as.

Using Taylor's theorem, we get

e) Harmonic mean of power size biased exponential distribution The harmonic mean (H) is given as.

Substituting 𝜃𝑥 𝛼 = 𝑚,then solving the integral we get;

Order Statistics of Power size biased exponential Distribution

Let us suppose 𝑥 1 , 𝑥 2 , 𝑥 3 … , 𝑥 𝑛 be random samples of size n from power size biased exponential distribution with p.d.f 𝑓(𝑥) and c.d.f F(𝑥). Then the probability density function of 𝑘 𝑡ℎ order statistics is given as.

Now using the values of 𝑓(𝑥) and F(𝑥) in the above equation.Then the probability of 𝑘 𝑡ℎ order statistics of Power size biased exponential distribution is given as;

Then, the p.d.f of first order 𝑥 1 Power size biased exponential distribution is given as;

Then, the p.d.f of first order 𝑥 𝑛 Power size biased exponential distribution is given as

Method of Maximum Likelihood Estimation

The estimation of parameters of Power size biased exponential distribution is doing by using the method of maximum likelihood estimation. Suppose

Data Analysis

The usefulness of the formulated distribution has been explained through two bioscience related data sets. The data sets are as follows Data set 1: The data set represents the remission times (in months) of a random sample of 128 bladder cancer patients. In order to compare the efficiency of the formulated distribution, we consider various criterions for goodness of fit such as-log 𝑙, AIC, CAIC and BIC. The established model is compared with Weighted Ailamujia distribution (WAD), Area Biased Ailamujia Distribution (ABAD), Length Biased Ailamujia Distribution (LBAD), Ailamujia Distribution (AD). The distribution having lower value of AIC, CAIC and BIC is considered to be best fit. The descriptive statistics of data set 1 and data set 2 are presented in table 1 and 3. The estimates of the parameters, log-likelihood, Akaike information criteria (AIC) for the data sets are generated and presented in Table 2 and4. Hence power size biased exponential distribution leads better fit.

Table 2. Performance of distributions for first Data set
ModelParameter EstimationStandard Error−𝐥𝐨𝐠𝒍AICCAICBIC
PSBE𝛼̂ = 0.72031 𝛽̂ = 0.43880𝛼̂ = 0.0287 𝛽̂ = 0.0470397.79799.59799.69805.23
WAD𝛼̂ = 0.1074 𝛽̂ = 0.0010𝛼̂ = 0.0143 𝛽̂ = 0.2359413.49830.99831.095836.63
ABAD𝛼̂ = 0.2148𝛼̂ = 0.0096489.35980.713980.74983.53
LBAD𝛼̂ = 0.1074𝛼̂ = 0.0068413.470828.94828.97831.76
AD𝛼̂ = 0.1074𝛼̂ = 0.0068413.47828.94828.97831.762

Table text extracted from the original PDF; superscript letters are shown inline. The original table image is below.

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Performance of distributions for first Data set↗ Enlarge
Table 2
Performance of distributions for first Data set

Performance of distributions for first Data set

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Original paper tableSource PDF · page 6 ↗
Table 1. Data summary for the first data set
Data summary for the first data set↗ Enlarge
Table 1
Data summary for the first data set

Data summary for the first data set

Open full-size image ↗
Original paper figureSource PDF · page 5 ↗

Conclusion

In this article, a new version of size biased exponential distribution has been introduced and named as Power Size Biased Exponential Distribution (PSBED). Various statistical properties of the said distribution have been derived. The PDF, CDF and HRF of the distribution have been represented through the graphs. The method of maximum likelihood estimation MLE has been used to estimate the parameters of the distribution. Finally, the performance of the distribution is checked through the data set where it shows better results than the parallel distributions.

Figures and tables from the paper

Table 3. Data summary for the first data set
Data summary for the first data set↗ Enlarge
Table 3
Data summary for the first data set

Data summary for the first data set

Open full-size image ↗
Original paper figureSource PDF · page 6 ↗
Table 4. Performance of distributions for second data set
ModelParameter EstimationStandard Error−𝐥𝐨𝐠𝒍AICCAICBIC
PSBE𝛼̂ = 0.5122 𝛽̂ = 0.3583𝛼̂ = 0.0510 𝛽̂ = 0.067153.50311.01311.41314.006
WAD𝛼̂ = 0.0244 𝛽̂ = 0.0010𝛼̂ = 0.0063 𝛽̂ = 0.4557171.79347.58347.98347.58
ABAD𝛼̂ = 0.0489𝛼̂ = 0.0042217.79437.58437.71439.08
LBAD𝛼̂ = 0.0244𝛼̂ = 0.0030171.77345.54345.67347.03
AD𝛼̂ = 0.0244𝛼̂ = 0.0030171.77345.54345.67347.03

Table text extracted from the original PDF; superscript letters are shown inline. The original table image is below.

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Performance of distributions for second data set↗ Enlarge
Table 4
Performance of distributions for second data set

Performance of distributions for second data set

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Original paper tableSource PDF · page 6 ↗
Figure 1. 1: PSBE Fitting
1: PSBE Fitting↗ Enlarge
Figure 1
1: PSBE Fitting

1: PSBE Fitting

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Original paper figureSource PDF · page 6 ↗
Figure 1. 2: PSBE Fitting
2: PSBE Fitting↗ Enlarge
Figure 1
2: PSBE Fitting

2: PSBE Fitting

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Original paper figureSource PDF · page 6 ↗

References

9 in the original paper
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